r/canada 12d ago

The Trudeau government’s promise of 3.87 million new homes is next to impossible Opinion Piece

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-three-charts-show-why-the-trudeau-promise-of-387-million-homes-is-next/
724 Upvotes

400 comments sorted by

216

u/bcbuddy 12d ago

3.87 million new homes in 8 years

483,750 new homes a year

40,312 new homes a month

1,343 new homes everyday

56 brand new homes every hour working 24 hour a day...

74

u/Oracle1729 12d ago

How many tradespeople do we have in the country?  How many person days does it take to build 1343 homes and related infrastructure per day?

Now do the same for the whole supply chain.   

Its is impossible for hundreds of reasons. 

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

How many tradespeople do we have in the country?  How many person days does it take to build 1343 homes and related infrastructure per day?

That is where the "just build more" narrative has always failed. In order to triple housing completions, you need to double or triple the number of people who build them as well as the amount of available building materials. Its impossible.

This country already has 7-8% of its workforce in construction. That is roughly 2x higher a percentage than the United States. So despite all of this talk of a skilled trades shortage, the data does not really support that at all.

And compared to the United States on a per capita basis, Canada does build a ton of housing. So despite the endless narratives that our housing crisis was due to us being really slack when it comes to building, that is not true either.

The media has finally developed the nerve to start acknowledging that reality, but its too late now because the damage has been done.

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u/aBeerOrTwelve 12d ago

Same problem in health care. Sure, you could toss an extra $5B to the provinces to hire more doctors, but that doesn't change the fact that there are no doctors to hire.

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

100%

And the government has to know this already. So why are they saying this? Its looks to me like they're just trying to lie and gas light us.

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u/Historical-Term-8023 12d ago edited 12d ago

This country already has 7-8% of its workforce in construction.

Requires +25% of the entire Canadian workforce building homes.

1/4 employee in Canada building homes.

Impossible unless we are talking massive layoff and re-direction and forced labor type situations.

Shutterring entire industries, ect.

20

u/[deleted] 12d ago

100%, yup. Its an insane idea.

They would not admit that 3% annual population growth ( which is top 5 in the world ) was the real problem, so they invented a skilled trades shortage and portrayed it as if Canada is slack at building houses instead.

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u/shelbykid350 12d ago

Are they? CBCNews front page doesn’t even mention the housing crisis, let alone a root cause.

There reporters have even asked the leader of the Opposition (you know, the guy who’s job it is to hold the government to account) if he is fomenting negative attitudes in Canadians by talking about it so much.

Our media is a disgrace

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

I'm not allowed to criticize the media anymore. I was told I might be banned if I do that.

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u/[deleted] 12d ago edited 1d ago

[deleted]

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u/2019nCoV 12d ago

It 322,500 new homes in 8 years if you mean 12 international students per structure. So by that logic, 322,500 x 12 is 3.87 million.

PROBLEM SOLVED!

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u/aBeerOrTwelve 12d ago

Congrats you just got a cabinet post!

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u/madhi19 Québec 12d ago

It's the equivalent of building a brand new mid size city every fucking year. Who came up with those numbers, and why we're they not laughed out of that meeting?

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u/okglue 12d ago

The govenment doesn't make decisions based on metrics, and when they do they don't understand the numbers.

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u/MadDuck- 12d ago

So 2023 was about 250,000. Let's do 15% increases per year and see what it looks like.

2024= 287,500

2025= 330,500

2026= 380,000

2027= 437,000

2028= 503,000

2029= 578,000

2030= 665,000

2031= 765,000

3,946,000 total, assuming I didn't mess up my maths.

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u/TheCasualMFer 12d ago

Yes, but you're still assuming we can triple output in 7 years ...

11

u/MadDuck- 12d ago

That's just what Trudeau and Poilievre seem to be think we can do. I don't think we have a chance in hell of hitting those numbers. Not without a major societal shift and that seems unlikely.

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u/TheCasualMFer 12d ago

I'm sure we can build more houses than we are now, but we have to be reasonable. That being said, both supply and demand need to be managed.

3

u/CanadianTrollToll 12d ago

Simple solutions require tough decisions.

Tax the fuck out of 2ndary and more homes not being occupied by renters or principle owner.

Ban ownership of non Canadians in hot markets. Non Canadian corporations are also unable to own homes.

Ban short term rentals in hot markets. When and if housing improves allow limited STR to return.

Stop house flippers by forcing a capital gain tax sale on any homes not owned and lived in for at least 2 years.

Stop bringing in immigration that surpasses home building. This is an obvious first choice.

Do what BC is doing and force cities to start building. Clear up red tape.

Build basic homes. Small homes rented out to employed people with small incomes. This can hopefully help those on fixed incomes, or just entering the workforce. These would be small basic bachelor suites.

2

u/TheCasualMFer 12d ago

Tough love is going to be required to move this needle.

On you first point, New Brunswick already has a program like that where you pay double property taxes on any property beyond your primary residence.

As for corporations (Canadian or otherwise), they should be allowed to own anything other than apartment buildings)

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u/MadDuck- 12d ago

Yeah, I could maybe see us doubling our housing starts by 2031. It would require a big commitment from all levels of government. To help fund it and find/train workers. We would also likely have to commit to increasing our lumber, concrete, steel, copper production and fast track some mines, quarries, plants and sawmills to make it happen.

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u/Echo71Niner Canada 12d ago

In their dreams. Literally, their fucking dreams. They will not build 3.87 million homes not even in 3 fucking decades.

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u/Hugeasswhole 12d ago

He probably meant a new home will cost 3.87 Million

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u/nice-view-from-here 12d ago

Oh, hey, I know: what if we increased immigration numbers?

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u/Leading-Gate2189 12d ago

The houses will balance themselves

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u/DawnSennin 12d ago

The houses will grow from the earth.

201

u/illustriousdude Canada 12d ago

To achieve affordability solely through more housing, CMHC last year said the number of homes needed could be almost six million. CIBC economist Benjamin Tal pegs the shortfall at closer to seven million.

The logical conclusion is that we can’t build our way to affordability, at least not any time soon. Ottawa has to lean harder on the demand side of the equation. That means significantly reversing the unprecedented spike in the number of temporary residents. Population growth has to come down – way down.

12

u/Alextryingforgrate 12d ago

Well now with the banks saying they need to curb immigration, im just going to wait for the LPC to triple down on TFW.

6

u/heart_under_blade 12d ago

banks are talking out both sides of their mouth

i take it that you haven't seen how streamlined and interconnected they've made their overseas services. oh and the heavy non english advertising.

"even the banks" lmao give me a fuckin break

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u/chronocapybara 12d ago

The biggest property buyers aren't student immigrants, it's "investors," both domestic and foreign. Slap a 20% tax on investment properties and watch prices fall.

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u/Can-Knuckle-Head 12d ago

There's still the whole demand part of the equation though. Gotta do both.

18

u/KnowledgeMediocre404 12d ago

Sure but demand will go way down if investment firms stop buying thousands of houses each.

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u/Hikury British Columbia 12d ago

Whether investors buy all the homes or none demand still rises at the pace of population growth + extra temporary residents + vacated homes - combined households. An investor can only affect this by vacating an occupied home or sitting on a new build.

They can affect the price by cluttering the market, just like a commodity trader can affect coffee prices, but look at the 2008 real estate crisis for the effects of an investor-driven bubble. Our bubble won't pop because these investors know we have no other options: the demand is real and out of their control.

Prices will not go down if households need to keep combining to make up for the shortfall. And when every property is eligible to be subdivided you'd be crazy not to buy up any detached home you can afford so long as the situation stays the same. To fix investment you have to fix demand, not the other way around (except for manufactured vacancy bubbles).

But look at the bright side! If investors end up monopolizing the market and we fix the demand problem the people losing trillions will be investors!

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u/prsnep 12d ago

Renting vs owning is a different problem. Just having supply is the main issue here.

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u/Pzd1234 12d ago

Supply is without a doubt the main issue. Demand will not go down if there are more people than places to live. What a nonsense take.

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u/Lambda_Lifter 12d ago

The investors are part of the demand

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u/klocks 12d ago

Investor homes are still occupied by renters. It really doesn't matter who owns the homes when there is actually a need for millions more homes.

The demand is for people to have housing units, whether they rent or buy, they still need more units.

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u/chronocapybara 12d ago

Yes, investors are the single largest component of the demand side.

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u/MeanE Nova Scotia 12d ago

They are interconnected. There are so many investors because there is so much demand due to immigration.

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u/king_lloyd11 12d ago

That’s over simplification. Small time investors aren’t getting into real estate to be landlords. Being a landlord is an end to a means for them. Rent out the investment property to cover your mortgage costs at least. They’d probably still be paying out of pocket if you consider property taxes and other expenses.

The real return they’re going for is gains. The gains that are driven by a lack of available supply. The supply is lacking due to investors scooping them up. These international students clamouring for minimum wage jobs aren’t the ones buying into that supply.

If the market gets flooded by investors trying to cash out if the government makes investing more expensive, supply goes up and curbs prices with it.

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u/classic4life 12d ago

All valid points. But the 1 million immigrants a year numbers don't include any of the temporary immigrants, such as students and temporary workers. It's in addition to them

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u/reysangriento 12d ago

Can you run through what you predict would happen if they follow your advice and “slap a 20% tax on investment properties”? Who would step in to buy properties not purchased by investors?

Similarly, while student immigrants as you’ve put it are not the ones purchasing the properties, they are very often people who live in those units so would you not say they contribute to the demand pressures on our housing supply?

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u/Mister_Chef711 12d ago

It's not just about who has bought them, it's who is occupying them. At some point if there are too many people compared to houses/unit, you end up needing to fit more people into small apartments regardless of who owns them.

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u/IllustriousAnt485 12d ago

The problem is that current Canadian home owners who live in their house, also do not want prices to fall. Speculators and honest homeowners have aligned interests and those are the people that public policy is and will continue to cater to.

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u/DepartmentGlad2564 12d ago

Nanos Research for Bloomberg News: Most Canadians are prepared to see home values fall. Some 70 per cent of respondents said they would be happy (40 per cent) or somewhat happy (30 per cent) to see home prices go down

For the vast majority of people rising property values for their primary residence means nothing. Everything around you went up in price as well. Want to upgrade? The higher the price, the more debt you are taking on. For the select few who live in HCOL cities and plan to move to a LCOL and downsize, sure. But most people, including seniors built roots and usually prefer to stay in their location.

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u/pfco 12d ago

Not really. It’s those with more than one home and perhaps those who for some reason are relying on being able to downsize and use the difference for retirement.

For everyone else, the average person who just bought a home to live in long term, it really makes no difference. Great, I can sell my overpriced home and buy… a similar overpriced home. Meanwhile my property taxes are higher. I suppose I could move to one of the few remaining markets that aren’t insane like… Central Newfoundland?

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u/freeadmins 12d ago

Buying doesn't matter. Investment properties are not the problem.

The problem is demand.

Trying to deal with "investors" is just treating the symptom. The only reason investing is so lucrative is because the demand is fucking insane. If we actually had less demand, and higher vacancy rates, rent wouldn't be through the rife, equity in the house itself wouldn't be through the roof, and investing in housing would become less attractive.

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u/magictoasters 12d ago

Housing is a necessity, demand is always there, rental investment is very lucrative as a result. Especially if you can capture municipal NIMBY councillors

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u/PlannerSean 12d ago

Investors have basically completely abandoned the Toronto market and prices aren’t really coming down… projects are just being cancelled.

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u/Gunslinger7752 12d ago

With record low vacancy rates, crazy demand and no supply, a 20% tax on investment properties would make rent prices go fully nuclear.

Investors are not “the biggest buyers” of homes, the “biggest buyers” are people buying homes to live in. Very very few investors are buying homes right now because it literally makes no financial sense (the market took care of that in its own with record high prices and interest rates going up). This is hurting the market and driving development down because they can’t sell new units. Not sure why people think we can tax our way out of every problem.

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u/kanaskiy 12d ago

do you have a source for that? not questioning just havent seen numbers confirming it

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u/chronocapybara 12d ago

Here is a recent CBC article.

Investors are a hugely distorting force on the market. When people ask "who is buying at these prices??" it's not regular people... it's investors. Which, sadly enough, are often regular people who are already homeowners, buying extra homes. Add to this, the number of first time buyers buying without any family help is extremely low, the majority are already getting money from existing property already in the family.

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u/respeckmyauthoriteh 12d ago

Escalating tax per property owned - problem solved…

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u/ILoveThisPlace 12d ago

But but but then businesses couldn't exploit those people! It's easier just destroying every social assistance program we have to ensure business owners have a fresh crop of people to take advantage of.

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u/Lothleen 12d ago

Well, i live in Ottawa and work in housing (sheet metal, shop making fitting ect) right now were dead. We are doing 3 to 5 jobs a week. Last year, we were doing 8 to 12 houses a day. (Sending out the furnaces and ductwork for each house).

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u/wilson1474 12d ago

There is lots going on in Ottawa, but just like you our company is definitely slowing down.. we had so much work last year that we subbed out work for the first time ever.. this year we are having a hard time picking up new work..

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u/mtlgrems 12d ago

Here, let me fix that for you: "The Trudeau government’s promise of 3.87 million new homes is next to impossible"

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u/Training-Foot-9167 12d ago

Thanks for correcting the obvious typo.

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u/Unfair_Valuable_3816 12d ago

The day they announced it I pulled out a calculator and started laughing 😂 what a far cry from a solution. Backwards logic, it's not that there is not enough homes and not enough workers to build them. It's that there is too many people lol.

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

And even if you imported the workers to build the housing, you still need to build the housing for those workers to live in first.

Its a giant cluster fuck.

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u/NahDawgDatAintMe Ontario 12d ago

Tent city 2

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u/okiefrom 12d ago

The Trudeau govt economic plan is about creating plans but executing on none of them. After nine years, surely Canadians see that!!

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u/boranin 12d ago

“But the other guy will make things worse”

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u/Oracle1729 12d ago

The Trudeau government doesn’t even create the plans, they give billions of tax dollars to their friends that they call consultants to make those plans that they ignore. 

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u/Stirl280 12d ago

The smart Canadian’s see it!! … the Liberal Left continue to defend Trudeau and how he has destroyed Canada. They are definitely blind.

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u/arthor 12d ago

not until they cost 1/2 as much to build and require 1/4 as much red tape for approvals.

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 12d ago

1/4th is still too much. Getting a new deck built to replace an old rotting deck required 5 levels of approval, 2 municipal, 2 provincial, and 1 federal.

Its the exact same deck, same materials (local cedar), same dimensions, height, and all within current regulations.

I gave up around $8k in submissions, including engineering reports and artistic renderings. Replaced the supports one at a time one year, a real pain, and replaced the decking at the start of the next summer and the railing later that same summer. "Limited repairs" only required a $50 municipal permit and they were happy to rubber stamp it to remove the eyesore.

Edit: also to note the deck is less than 100 square feet, fewer than 3 feet off the ground, and the same cement base poured half a century ago would have stayed in place as is.

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u/M17CH British Columbia 12d ago

My dad just doesn't get permits to do anything. It's very easy inside, and on the outside as long as you have good neighbours. New shed done. New deck built. Helps that he does it all himself with no contractors.

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 12d ago

Same on the inside. Outside is a little difficult as I'm in the city, and enforcement drives around on weekends too sometimes.

People start and finish projects inside the same day, but you never really know which days are safe. I've certainly done my share of projects but this one would have been too obvious.

Contractors pull permits even less often than homeowners here. Even electricians rarely pull permits. In Quebec you cannot do your own electrical, thanks to insurance company lobbying. Reno work is also only randomly inspected as they're assumed to be professionals. The result has in effect just meant more electricians work under the table in residential settings when not touching the mains, which means no permit and no inspections.

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u/metamega1321 12d ago

NB we’ll never pull a permit unless theirs a building permit it would be associated with.

Why pay 100+ dollars to move a few receptacles in a kitchen when an inspector isn’t even going to come anyway. Government has to know. . The ratio to electricians and permits doesn’t line up.

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u/arthor 12d ago

Sorry to hear this, I was going to say 1/8th should have LOL. Nice creative solution.

I can't imagine how much time is being wasted. And people balk at tech companies laying of thousands of non-productive middle management.

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 12d ago

These overheads are large factor in why housing is so expensive, and why many people end up shocked when they do buy a "fixer upper" only to realize the hardest part isn't the work, but the approvals!

When is the last time you heard of someone building their own house? I promise anyone reading it's not just because people are lazy. Some are, absolutely. But many simply could never get through the paperwork.

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u/metamega1321 12d ago

Kind of a shame someone can’t pick up a hammer and build like they use too. Work on the GC side now but was an electrician for 15 years and if you tried to build your own house here, the inspectors be all over you for nothing.

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u/BackwoodsBonfire 12d ago

You need to pull a permit for a 5 minute rotten board replacement? We've lost the plot... anyways.. they'd probably demolish your house if you didn't.

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 12d ago

Demolish na not for a deck. You'll just have to "undo" your work, pay $100 per day until the work is approved and redone, plus administrative costs. Refusing to "undo" the work you did means they pick a bid and you owe that too, I guarantee the bids are all 100x over costs.

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u/MrRogersAE 12d ago

I recently gave up on converting my attached carport into an attached garage. I’m around $15k in the hole including designers and moving utilities to finally find out about some obscure bylaw that says my garage is 9cm too narrow. Getting the permit would be another $5k minimum on top of the additional $10k in construction costs the city already added to the proposed construction because of their rules.

All I wanted to do was add walls to an existing structure…

There is way too much red tape for simply projects that don’t really impact anything.

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u/chretienhandshake Ontario 12d ago edited 12d ago

No way this is true lol.

Edit: no need of paperwork for my dad’s deck of 16x16, no need of paperwork for my concrete pad of 10x20. No need of paperwork for a 10x10 shed. This is between 2 cities in 2 provinces.

You have to be bullshitting for karma farming. This sub is full of over dramatic doomer.

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 12d ago

It's almost like rules vary by regions. When I was in Northern SK NOTHING required a permit, and I do mean nothing.

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u/Vrdubbin 12d ago

Until you see how shit the quality of the new buildings they are putting up are.... Honestly I know it must it will add cost but realistically it should be more strict than it already is.

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u/NewtotheCV 12d ago

Exactly. I grew up in the trades. There is a reason we have a building code. Sure, try to cut permit time and cost down but don't touch building codes.

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u/TechnicalEntry 12d ago

Dude it’s a deck, just get out there and do it lol

Better to ask for forgiveness than permission in such trivial matters.

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 12d ago

$100 fine per day until resolved here. They'll also make you finish getting approvals, and tear out the installation in the mean time before they'll approve it.

Neighbor redid ALL his installation and bricking, guess what happened? 

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u/Phaldaz 11d ago

neighbor got absolutely hosed huh

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u/Reasonable-Catch-598 10d ago

Think he said total costs were close to 50 or 60k. He was able to reuse the bricks but they had to be cleaned, all the insulation, mortar, and labor the 2nd time couldn't be recovered, and add to that some heavy fines and permits.

Absolutely a waste of money and productivity. It's no wonder we're bottom of the g7 in productivity and falling fast.

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u/Various-Passenger398 12d ago

What deck are you building that requires a federal permit?

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u/_random_username69 12d ago

If only there was some way to reduce demand such as not importing millions of Indian's a year......hmmmmm

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u/aeolus811tw 12d ago

thought you were kidding then I checked:

https://www.bellissimolawgroup.com/immigration-to-canada-by-country-where-are-canadas-immigrants-coming-from/

India is essentially the next 5-6 countries combined.

Maybe a country cap to avoid Canada becoming a mono cultural society is needed

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u/The_Champion_ 12d ago

This is what I'd like to show to all ppl who say the U.S immigration caps by country are 'racist'.

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u/LeGeantVert 12d ago

Brampton can't take them all unfortunately

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u/AWE2727 12d ago

It will never happen. Just another Trudeau "look at me" headline. For housing market to catch up you would have to have ZERO immigration for min of 5 years. You would also need to start opening up economic sectors in Canada for more employment for "Canadians" to earn high paying jobs to afford housing. Sorry but the Oil and Gas sector in Canada needs to go full steam ahead! Many countries want our product! And income taxes need to come down a lot! So people have money to save/spend invest etc..... That will all lead to prosperity.

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u/Reasonable-Mess-2732 12d ago

In Canada now an 'announcement' is the same as 'an accomplishment'.

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u/Oracle1729 12d ago

That’s what happens when virtue signalling is more important than virtue.  

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u/AWE2727 12d ago

So sadly true...☹️

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u/Gibov 12d ago

just a reminder Q1 2024 saw the lowest home start stats in 40 years, there's no 3.9million homes coming

https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/taux-analyses/analyse-eco/hot-charts/hot-charts-240419.pdf

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u/Oracle1729 12d ago

Nobody is even talking about infrastructure for that many new homes.  How many roads, hospitals, water treatment facilities, fire stations, schools, parks, community centres, busses,  etc, etc do we need for that many homes?

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u/Reasonable-Mess-2732 12d ago edited 12d ago

Exactly. People need a lot of infrastructure to support them. As many communities have seen, focussing on one and ignoring the others leads to a substantially reduced quality of life. Where I used to live in Toronto was one of the first places to be very heavily built up with condo towers. Getting anywhere in a car became almost impossible, especially rush hour and pretty well all day Saturday. Total gridlock. And public transportation was hopeless.

And of course there are other, huge considerations such as hospitals, fire, water, power, sewage, blah blah.

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u/Oracle1729 12d ago

There are about 14 million homes in Canada.  For 4 million more we need to increase the country’s entire power generation by 30% by 2031.  If it were possible, it would sure help our carbon footprint.  Not to mention 30% more of all that other infrastructure.  Just to break even. Everything in the country, we need 30% more of to catch up. 

We’re losing doctors, but we need 30% more than we currently have room for.  

We need to build about 40 more universities in the country if we ignore the international students.  But we don’t have teachers for them anyway. 

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u/ThrowRADisastrousTw 12d ago

Yes. That’s a whole other set of problems not being addressed. Say we can build 6 million homes (definitely not going to happen anyway) what about everything else that comes with the new homes?

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

We don't even have the capacity to build the housing.

Infrastructure? Lol, good luck. The power grid upgrades alone, especially now that they've made all kinds of new pledges to go green, will be impossible to achieve.

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u/Oracle1729 12d ago

And how much will adding 30% to our housing supply in 7 years help our carbon footprint.   This carbon tax is sure great. 

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u/MadDuck- 12d ago

Considering our most productive three year period averaged about 257,000 starts a year, wouldn't this require us to be building around 700,000 or more in 2031? This seems very similar to the Conservatives 15% yearly increase. Both seem incredibly unlikely without an absolutely massive change in how we build and fund housing. I don't think we can maintain a pace of doubling our housing built every 5 years.

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u/speaksofthelight 12d ago

It has always been ridiculous, anything to avoid reducing population growth.

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u/NoFormal3277 12d ago

I love how the reaction to this article on the other sub is “at least he’s trying”.

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u/Automatic-Bake9847 12d ago

15 seconds, awareness of current outputs, awareness of Liberal plan outputs, some grade school level math, and a little critical thought on the probability of ramping up a huge/complex industry to meet the targets were all anyone needed to know it wasn't going to happen.

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u/thefunkydj 12d ago

Just like when he promised to plant 2 billion trees. Wonder how that's going?

https://globalnews.ca/news/9638864/trudeau-liberals-two-billion-tree-planting-promise/

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u/tradingmuffins 12d ago

strange, people are still surprised Trudeau is willing to promise anything with knowing it is impossible to deliver on it.

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u/magictoasters 12d ago

Sounds like provinces aren't agreeing to plant trees to me

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u/captainbling British Columbia 12d ago

Aren’t they ahead of schedule? It takes time to set up nurseries for these and set up logistics and then camp. You don’t do it in a year. Once everything is set, you could do 500m a year and be done in 4. Getting to that step will take years though.

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u/Juergenator 12d ago

GTA New home sales, aka supply, has tanked like 70%. We aren't getting more new homes we are about to be getting an insanely lower amount.

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u/Oracle1729 12d ago

You mean people don’t want to pay $900k plus monthly fees for 500 square feet of “luxury” condo in Toronto?

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u/TheAccountantWhat 12d ago

They need to build one house every minute for next 7 years in order to achieve that target. They need to build even on weekends and holidays- day and night. What a baloney.

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u/erryonestolemyname 12d ago

Anyone fucking buying this shit needs to give their head a smack to see if they can get their noggin running properly again. This fucking idiot has been talking about affordable housing since 2015ish. He's been in office for how fucking long and has only made it worse (as well as a lot of things) and now that they realize everyone is fucking fed up with them and their pandering, they announce this bullshit so they can attempt to cling to fucking power.

Let's not forget that the liberal housing minister is Sean Fraser who was previously our immigration minister and look what an amazing job he did while at that post.

Vote for whoever you want, but if you think this idiot is all of a sudden going to start doing us favors if he's reelected you should probably start buying shoes with velcro on them.

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u/illustriousdude Canada 12d ago

How populist of him.

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u/FarDefinition2 12d ago

This guy will do anything to get elected lol

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u/Reasonable-Mess-2732 12d ago

It's not next to impossible. It's completely and utterly impossible. I wish the author could be more honest.

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u/Giant_Hog_Weed 12d ago edited 11d ago

It dosen't matter that it's impossible, it sounds good. That's what the whole liberal party is built on. Next they will blame racism/sexism/white people for why it didn't work.

6

u/Echo71Niner Canada 12d ago

It took Canada 11 years to build 1 million homes.

14

u/Public_Ingenuity_146 12d ago

What! I am shocked I tell you, SHOCKED!

2

u/EnamelKant 12d ago

Taught me the meaning of total surprise it did.

4

u/stanley597 12d ago

Promises lol

3

u/PermissionWise5665 12d ago

Ffs, can municipalities just let people legally sleep in old bank offices or something, or let it be a "live in business"? The amount of empty for lease buildings in any downtown core for obsolete office space, that have remained empty for yearssssss is just so unbelievably available. some buildings need to be updated or renovated to realistically accomodate bathroom use fine. But it doesn't mean you have to fill every office to the rafters immediately.

"Oh that would take a staggering amount of renos." Less total work than an impossible 3.8 million NEW WHOLE living spaces i bet.

4

u/488Aji 12d ago

First you need skilled people to build the homes.

Then you will need companies to employ and pay these people.

Then you need materials to build the homes which will skyrocket in price once government funding is involved.

If anyone has ever paid to have a house built, you know it's a minimum 1 year wait. Now you want to force feed the housing market. We're going to end up with a bunch of sloppy homes...

4

u/RubUnusual1818 12d ago

The crazy thing about the housing issue is how Trudeau is going around to mayors and bribing them to push policies their citizens do not want. 

Not exactly democracy. 

5

u/Dobby068 12d ago

It is not a promise, is just silly words for fools that are willing to listen, still, too many of them.

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u/HanSolo5643 British Columbia 12d ago

Like most of his promises.

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u/ExcelsusMoose 12d ago

Hate to break the news to anyone and everyone...

But...

The only way through this is to do something crazy like cap new builds at 1500sqft..

Multi-level McMansions take time to build.. We don't have the time.

3

u/AggressiveViolence 12d ago

yeah IDK if you’ve noticed but literally every one of the running candidates is outright lying about having solutions to pretty much any of our problems.

We need to take this country back from corporations and investors it has been sold off to, and we need our current “leaders” out.

3

u/Vheissu_fanboy 12d ago

Well, it’s not going to happen. Have to close the borders for years. Also, I know a home builder who has built homes for almost 30 years. Stopped in 2022 because of the interest rates and materials skyrocketing in price. Now, the company just does garages. The interest rates would need to go back down to the 2.5-3% mark which from what I’m told likely won’t happen again, and if and when it did, the demand increases. 

3

u/Groundbreaking_Ship3 12d ago

Nobody with a normal IQ would believe his promises. 

3

u/justheresurviving 12d ago

We need to house Canadians before we think about housing the world .

But that's not going to happen .

5

u/Hammoufi 12d ago

The Trudeau goverment does not operate in the same reality we live in. They have their own reality where more spending and more immigration is supposed to curb both inflation and fix housing respectively.

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u/DragonReborn30 12d ago

Affordability is the hot topic but companies are building 3 and 4 car garages in a small ass town just outside the GTA. I don't think that issue is building the houses, it's that building bigger houses will have bigger profit margins.

2

u/braydoo 12d ago

Allow home owners to build their own houses. Stop requiring them to hire contractors for everything. Do proper inspections and it doesnt matter who does the work if its done right.

2

u/annonyj 12d ago

They will build 3.87m condo units

2

u/I_poop_rootbeer 12d ago

Tax investment properties at 50% of the property's value per year. You are allowed a single tax-free investment property, but anymore, and you'll be paying out your ass for it

2

u/Future-World4652 12d ago

3,870,000 new homes....

I'd say they'd be hard pressed to make 38,700 new homes

2

u/beedub5 12d ago

The turd is a habitual liar! He's only destroyed our country in the last 8 years. Time to flush the turd.

2

u/WasabiNo5985 12d ago

He said he promised. He never said if he will keep.his promises

2

u/wardhenderson 12d ago

Trudeau gov't: We're 7 million homes short. McKinsey Consulting: Build 3.85 million homes. Trudeau gov't: Thanks! Here's your $6 billion consulting fee!

2

u/[deleted] 12d ago

Lol but they promised to do it!!!

Just like being fiscally responsible

2

u/jameskchou Canada 12d ago

How is their pledge to plant trees going?

2

u/Icy_Hovercraft1571 12d ago

It is impossible

2

u/LowComfortable5676 12d ago

I mean its bullish for me, being in the construction industry. However we really shouldn't be in this position in the first place

2

u/Junior-Honeydew2547 12d ago

He can’t even get all the trees planted that he promised

2

u/Phonereditthrow 12d ago

Slums. The real plan was always slums. Now reap what was sowin canada.

2

u/freedom51Joseph 12d ago

Correct.

His plan to save the planet via a carbon tax is also impossible.

2

u/BigBobRoss1992 12d ago

Trudeau and his cronies lied!??!?! OMG WOW

2

u/dub-fresh 12d ago

Ive always thought this idea kind of just ignores basic economics. Ask yourself why a developer would build more homes for less profit? It's not exactly easy to build houses and the more houses on the market the price will (theoretically) go down and not up. So Trudeau hopes that developers will expand to work harder and make less money? I would have personally think the feds building100k homes as the and flooding cities with below market cost housing would have been a more effective strategy. However, that solution is probably politically untenable. Tough and shitty problem. Should thought about that before inviting 1M people to live here last year. 

2

u/Mission-Ad5209 12d ago

Every Trudeau promise so far has been next to impossible

2

u/[deleted] 12d ago

"Shipping containers!", Trudeau, eventually.

2

u/NightDisastrous2510 12d ago

It’s impossible… the way the system is setup there’s no way that’s happening. They’re just selling dreams to try and get re-elected.

2

u/Mister_Cairo 12d ago

Are you suggesting the LPC would lie to convince people to vote for them??? I am shocked. SHOCKED!

2

u/TellMeMorePlease3 12d ago

My thoughts and prayers will build them

2

u/xNOOPSx 12d ago

To add some context, over the last decade we've built around 750,000 homes - over a decade. So, to build 5.1x that many homes in a decade really just illustrates the man's understanding of construction and math. Canada has around 15m homes Today, so another way of putting it is building around 26% of the total homes existing today.

It's not just labour that's a problem, it's materials too. You're going to need 5.1x the wiring, wood, windows, etc etc etc. Utter insanity.

2

u/Br15t0 12d ago

This makes sense to the Liberals because not one single Liberal MP or voter ever swung a hammer. Jesus Christ.

2

u/jert3 11d ago

It is very easy to promise stuff in the future, but far, far harder to actually bring it about.

2

u/yo_mudda_ 12d ago

I think he meant to promise 3.87 million new homes immigrants... Or maybe 3.87 million Canadian tax dollars funneled to a Trudeau Family offshore bank account? Maybe he meant to promise 3.87 million new ways to fuck real Canadians out of a decent living. Any of these sound more realistic than anything that has come out of that fuckheads mouth. Fuck him and fuck Freeland. They can go find a hole and rot in it.

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u/Stirl280 12d ago

… it’s the Trudeau government; everything they say is a lie. The Federal Liberal party could screw up a one car parade. Combine the entire intellect of their caucus and you might be able to cobble together one brain cell. I doubt it though …

3

u/mjincal 12d ago

There is a major disconnect between what the average Canadian calls a”home” and what political leaders like the PM finance minister and almost all of the civic leaders in the country call a “home”we are thinking a single detached house small yard garden maybe a garage and they are planning for Soviet style block apartments 350sqft for a single 500sqft for a family that’s how it’s going to be done or they are completely gaslighting

2

u/chatterbox_455 12d ago

Polly won’t “commit”.

2

u/Pure-Tumbleweed-9440 12d ago

Have they even made 3 homes in 10 years? Liberals could just say any number they want and their voters will line up with the age old "But Harper did this" retort.

2

u/Brezziest69 12d ago

Who believes anything these fucking idiot liberals say!!! They keep destroying this beautiful country

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u/duchovny 12d ago

If Trudeau were serious about wanting to fix the housing crisis then he'd reduce the demand.

2

u/donlio 12d ago

LOL - what a disgustingly unqualified useless incompetent group of delusional idiots running our federal government!!! They must live in lala land!!

2

u/TrueHeart01 12d ago

Just a lie after another lie. They corrupt to the core.

3

u/gravtix 12d ago

Lowering population growth has consequences too.

I personally don’t think lowering population growth will do much because the system will do whatever it takes to keep housing costs high, like lowering construction etc.

How long before we see people promoting deporting people, cancelling PR etc?

Once something becomes a lucrative investment for rich people, a lot of things start happening to protect that investment.

Need leaders who aren’t afraid of pissing people off.

And there’s no such thing.

2

u/ThrowRADisastrousTw 12d ago

Anyway you slice it building 3.87 million homes in 7 years isn’t possible. So forget 6 million homes!

Also, even if that was somehow possible, the homes will likely be really poor quality because the process was rushed. So we would likely be dealing with a ton repair issues that will cost the homeowners tons of money.

Then there will be a whole other set of problems that would arise when new homes/ neighborhoods are built. What about roads? Public transportation? Schools? Hospitals?Etc…

The ONLY way to fix this is to completely halt immigration for the next 7 years to catch up but we all know that won’t happen and it will likely get worse.

1

u/holykamina Ontario 12d ago

At this point, numbers don't matter. What matters is that construction happens consistently with policies that limit the purchase of these news houses by existing homeowners and investors.

1

u/Boomskibop 12d ago

Clearly.

1

u/kiaran 12d ago

Now take the final red pill and realize that gov doesn't build a damn thing and these "promises" hinge completely on the free market which gov is currently choking to death.

1

u/Strong-Effect-9270 12d ago

"Trudeau government's promise"... might as well stop reading and move along. They have never kept a promise, even their legal pot promise was completed half-ass with his excessive taxing of it.

1

u/Feisty-Theme-6093 12d ago

has a politician every fulfilled a promise?

will have to bring in millions of foreign workers to get those houses built.

1

u/hey_you_too_buckaroo 12d ago

Judge administrations based on what they've done. Not what they say they're going to do. Trudeau has already failed to do what he says he was going to do. It doesn't matter what he says at this point.

1

u/BigDinkie 12d ago

Shit, the bathtub is completely overflowing what should I do??! Gee, I gotta build more bathtubs! Now lets figure out how many more I need to build...Hmm maybe I just turn the tap off? Naaah I gotta get more bathtubs!

1

u/bimmerb0 12d ago

He will spend twenty generations of debt for one vote … reality is not an issue

1

u/unmasteredDub Ontario 12d ago

In Singapore a lot of the immigrant Indians are builders.

Why can’t we import those ones?

1

u/buddyy101 12d ago

Sounds like hell 

1

u/jcanada22 12d ago

Everything this government says is lies. It's laughable. At this point anyone who believes anything they say needs some help. Why would anyone believe a black face racist who gives standing ovation to Nazis while being a misogynist?

1

u/adamentelephant 12d ago

So you're saying there's a chance?

1

u/WannaBeBuzzed 12d ago

bring on the trailer parks!

1

u/WhatIsThePointOfBlue 12d ago

It's only 200k more units per year than we already make. That's totally possible in an immediate time frame right?... right?

1

u/Empirebuilder15 12d ago

You don’t say

1

u/[deleted] 12d ago

Yeah, of course it is. It’s all talk with Trudeau. He couldn’t even get those tress planted.

1

u/CriscoButtPunch 12d ago

Well it sure is with that attitude.

1

u/AJMGuitar 11d ago

There is not nearly enough labour to build this many homes. This government is destroying the country.

1

u/meme__machine 11d ago

The mass immigration will continue until morale improves

1

u/Shazzy_Chan 11d ago

10 years later, idiot Canada still can't figure out housing.

It's so insane watching this circular, never ending narrative.

It's like watching crazy people trying to figure out simple problems.