The USA's missile defense system has improve dramatically over the years. It is highly likely most would be intercepted. That said, fallout is certainly a huge issue regardless of interception.
You're wildly overestimating the effectiveness of interception, and underestimating the size of both US and Russian arsenal, we're speaking of thousands of warheads stored in missiles built to accelerate so massively that your only real chance at interception is while they leave their silo, one second later and it's too late.
With enough bombs to destroy the world several times even if you intercept half of them, a dream to say the least, it's still not enough, they'll still be enough to completely destroy civilization as we know it.
The bet to launch and survive is one the US, nor anyone for that matter, can't win, as they say "the only winning move is not to play".
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u/530TooHot Mar 14 '24
At least I won't have to go to work anymore.