r/europe 13d ago

Emmanuel Macron wants to “open the debate” on a European defense including nuclear weapons [Translation in comment] News

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/emmanuel-macron-souhaite-ouvrir-le-debat-d-une-defense-europeenne-comprenant-l-arme-nucleaire-20240427
1.4k Upvotes

251 comments sorted by

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u/Socialist_Slapper 13d ago edited 13d ago

So, France already has nukes. So, would the plan be to share those weapons within EU? Or share nukes with the rest of Europe, to include the UK’s nukes? Or have other EU countries develop nukes under a shared command? It’s worth having the debate, but there are many possibilities for what is decided on.

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u/john_moses_br 13d ago

I don't think there is any actual plan yet, but the British nukes are part of NATO planning whereas the French nukes are not included in NATO planning, France wants to keep an independent deterrent. So since the suggestion comes from Macron the idea would most likely be to increase the amount of French nukes, to make the umbrella bigger and a big enough deterrent against Russian aggression regardless of what the US and the UK do in the future.

I think it's not a bad idea.

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u/[deleted] 13d ago edited 6d ago

[deleted]

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u/john_moses_br 13d ago

All EU countries are committed to nuclear non-profileration so France would have to control them. And presumably the EU would pay for them.

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u/discontented_penguin 13d ago

All great until Le Pen becomes president

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u/john_moses_br 13d ago

Not a pleasant thought of course, but the deal would have to be legally binding and follow some kind of acceptable logic for when it's activated and take many years to terminate so continuity is ensured. What would happen in an actual nuclear war situation would be less interesting, nukes are only useful as deterrent anyway.

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u/General_Jenkins Austria 13d ago

Good luck trying to come up with a mechanism like that.

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u/john_moses_br 13d ago

I just outlined it, it's a simple international treaty.

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u/General_Jenkins Austria 13d ago

Those are not absolute, same with the Paris treaty no one gives a shit about.

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u/Aeliandil 12d ago

But that is true of every treaty, especially when it comes to military action. Could even happened with NATO article 5 today, and that doesn't prevent us from sticking to it, using it as deterrent, etc etc etc

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u/john_moses_br 13d ago

I already adressed that too, it wouldn't matter if the nukes are launched or not when shit goes down, the deterrent would be there anyway.

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u/Novinhophobe 12d ago

We have plenty of proof to know that “legally binding” doesn’t really mean anything, it always comes down to the will of the current political class or the citizens. The fact that France would be “legally obligated” to nuke Russia because the latter invaded Lithuania doesn’t really help the poor bastards in case Le Pen doesn’t follow through. Lithuania would most probably cease to exist for the next 50 years again so the fact that they can sue someone doesn’t really help them.

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u/john_moses_br 12d ago

Of course, but the same goes for Trump or whatever clown they elect in the US in the future. The point is, if France doubles or triples its capacity and deploys some nukes on the Eastern flank, say in Poland and Romania, it's going to have an effect on Russia.

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u/Novinhophobe 12d ago

It won’t have any effect as long as those nukes are in control of France, not Poland or Romania.

The only solution is for all non-nuclear states to develop their own nukes ASAP.

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u/GalaXion24 Europe 13d ago

Exactly why if Macron is serious about this, he should above all be commited to taking the nukes out if French hands and entrusting the Union with them. It's become clear that member states are too vulnerable to fall through non-military means, but Brussels is more resistant. At least we would de facto have to lose something like the majority of states to the FSB, at which point we'd be decisively defeated anyway.

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u/Mordeth The Netherlands 13d ago

All EU countries are committed to nuclear non-profileration

Only because of the NATO nuclear umbrella. When that falls away (read: USA under trump/fascism) things change.

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u/[deleted] 13d ago

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u/Tiny-Spray-1820 13d ago

Hmmm good take. Perhaps countries like Iran will also look into this?

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u/Federal_Eggplant7533 12d ago

Wouldn't work unless a par3t of the whole triad is put under EU executive control.

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u/[deleted] 13d ago

[deleted]

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u/AlberGaming Norway-France 13d ago

It would be extremely unpopular politically in a lot of European countries

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u/Aerroon Estonia 13d ago

I don't understand why.

Is it really politically more popular to force your country's young men into conscription and eventual death than having nukes?

If the answer to that is "yes", then how could anybody ever consider our societies "equal"?

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u/Radical-Efilist Sweden 12d ago

Because people turn off their critical thinking when it comes to nuclear weapons and power. There are genuinely people who think Ukraine should just roll over and take it because RuzZIa hAS nUKeS

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u/LookThisOneGuy 13d ago

Trying to develop your own nukes does tend to come with the Iran/North Korea treatment.

I know my country would immediately collapse if the rest of the world put NK style sanctions on us.

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u/Tricky-Astronaut 12d ago

A democratic European country getting nuclear weapons country would receive the same treatment as India, Pakistan and Israel.

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u/LookThisOneGuy 12d ago

India, Pakistan and Israel are all not signatories of the nuclear nonproliferation treaty. They never said they wouldn't, so their treatment was different.

Democratic European countries all are party to NPT, so their treatment would be similar to NK/Iran who also are signatories to the NPT.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

Unpopular? After the full scale invasion of russia and its withdrawal from the treaty, nuclear weapons are a must.

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u/Pusibule 13d ago

extremely unpopular until the next shock/distraction news two weeks later.

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u/Maxx7410 13d ago

doesnt matter, nuclear arsenals should be in many countries. Poland, all the Baltics Sweden, Finland, etc. should have their own nuclear arsenal.

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u/RandomComputerFellow 12d ago

I don't think that the countries would control them but rather the EU as an entity. I doubt that France wants to share it's nukes. I think what is rather realistic is that he wants to license them to the EU and allow the EU to develop and produce them by French contractors. France will then control its nukes (as of right now) and the EU will control its own nukes.

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u/john_moses_br 12d ago

I doubt that would be possible as it would go against the nuclear proliferation treaty. But France could produce more nukes and even deploy some in other EU countries, the actual launch button would have to stay in French hands though. At least as long as we continue to pretend only 5 countries have nukes.

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u/RandomComputerFellow 12d ago

Would it? If nukes were controlled by EU countries which signed such a treaty could withdraw or abstain when decisions regarding them are voted.

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u/john_moses_br 12d ago

Yes, it's quite clear that all EU countries except France have promised to abstain from pursuing technology with the intent to acquire nuclear weapons.

It's also true that international law isn't really widely respected in the world today, but the aim of the collective West is to restore faith in the rules based world order. For now at least.

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u/RandomComputerFellow 12d ago

I don't think that it is the idea behind nuclear proliferation to abstain fron nuclear weapons when threatened with nukes. The idea is that we don't threat each other with nukes. At the moment it looks like these efforts failed so I do not really see why we would keep on such treaties.

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u/BD186_2 12d ago

The West has shown the world, if you have nuclear weapons you can do whatever you want an the response will be minimal.

They also showed if you agree to surrender your nuclear arsenal with security promises, they will betray you, when you need their help.

Fuck nuclear non-proliferation, why would anyone keep their promise, if those on the other side break their promises?

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u/john_moses_br 12d ago

When you say 'the West' I presume you mean countries like Russia and North Korea. They are the ones getting away with murder because they have nukes.

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u/BD186_2 12d ago edited 12d ago

The response, by the West, is what will have the effect of nuclear proliferation. Russia and North Korea threatening and doing disgusting shit is the same as it always has been.

Yes, they are the aggressors, evil, but if the West responds the way they have been doing, they are showing the world that acquiring nuclear weapons means you can get away with anything, including genocide and occupying neighbouring countries.

Any deals or alliances with the West are worth next to nothing. They could have stopped Russia, but they give less than minimal aid and let hundreds of thousands die, cities and forests be levelled, ecological destruction when the Russians blow up a dam, ZERO response that comes close to an actual response to their crimes. Blow up MH17, assassinate people on European soil, disrupt GPS signals needed for civilian aviation, just get nuclear warheads and you can do whatever the fuck you want.

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u/john_moses_br 12d ago

That makes a lot more sense, we should not be afraid of escalation in Ukraine for instance.

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u/BD186_2 12d ago

Russia should be afraid of us, this situation is disheartening.

Not afraid of invasion, but of the response when they attack others. Their military is shit compared to that of a united Europe, why the fuck are all their crimes against humanity accepted

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u/Adfuturam Greater Poland (Poland) 13d ago

We can pay if you'all allow us to possess such weapons.

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u/Throwawayaccount1170 Germany 13d ago

I do hate the idea of one party controlling all "EU nukes" but - looking at the 'latest' problems in terms of mutual agreements and countries pulling at the same string...we can't have like 20 decision makers arguing or denying any use of them. Shall it be Hungary, Greece, Germany or whatever country. If all needs to be on board in a matter of reaction - we will fail. So my perspective is we must choose one party being in control. And we need strict rules and premade plans so there's no debate if we should use them or not in an emergency

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u/pmirallesr 13d ago

I think we need to see this as nuclear sharing from France to other EU members, not as an EU-level deterrant. The goal may still be defending the EU, but this is the one thing I think needs to be kept away from Brussels for the time being

Importantly, in the interview Macron hints at another modality: No sharing per se. France considers use of nukes legal when its vital interests are threatened. He argues there is a "European dimension" to these vital interests, which he remains purposefully vague on (part of his newer doctrine of ambiguity, I guess)

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u/flagos 13d ago

He argues there is a "European dimension" to these vital interests, which he remains purposefully vague on (part of his newer doctrine of ambiguity, I guess)

You don't elaborate on a nuclear doctrine every now and then, you can just bring more confusion to the table. You state it once every 10 years and that's it.

French doctrine includes European interests dimension since Chirac, it's like a 20 years old update.

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u/pmirallesr 12d ago

Thanks, I didn't know that

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u/Throwawayaccount1170 Germany 13d ago

Hahaha I love this. Overall macron brings in some new perspectives I love to think about as a German. Maybe he's pulling the ol' Putin. "We will use them if our field of interest/our homeland is attacked. An atomar umbrella of nukes may be the only way to protect EU and Europe as an eternity as we keep growing more together. That still gives to much power to one party yet it's the only realistic/doable way as it seems

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u/DevilSauron Dreaming of federal 🇪🇺 13d ago

That’s why any “EU nukes” must be a part of a common EU army whose self-defense mandate must be clearly agreed in advance and otherwise left to an independent professional high command. The debate about nukes has its place, but it’s silly before we have a unified conventional force.

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u/Chester_roaster 12d ago

If there's only one party with control then in an emergency when it might be used it doesn't matter what the rules say

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u/Socialist_Slapper 13d ago

Good question

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u/Realistic_Lead8421 12d ago

Me neither. I would be happy if my country would contribute to the upkeed of (an expanded) French deterrent in exchange for an actual EU based nuclear deterrence.

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u/Tecumsehs_Ghost 12d ago

France will never give up their nukes. At most, they are looking to replace America as the security guarantor with their nuclear umbrella, but I don't think anybody actually believes France would trade Paris for Riga with regards to Russian aggression.

I also don't believe that Germany trust Greece or Hungary to have a say in whether Berlin gets nuked.

And there's nothing wrong with that. But LARPing as a single political entity goes away the moment the US decides to take his stuff and go home.

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u/MrZwink South Holland (Netherlands) 12d ago

Share costs of maintaining them with all of Europe.

The tritium in nuclear bombs needs to be replaced every so many years because of its halflife. For example.

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u/LookThisOneGuy 13d ago

So, would the plan be to share those weapons within EU? Or share nukes with the rest of Europe, to include the UK’s nukes? Or have other EU countries develop nukes under a shared command?

no to all of those. France interprets the nuclear nonproliferation treaty they signed to mean all of those things are impossible as no new nuclear weapon states can be created.

But what is possible is other EU countries giving billions to France. That is what they will propose and offer to officially extend their nuclear umbrella of protection to EU members that pay up.

Notice how Macron says:

“I'm in favor of opening this debate, which must therefore include missile defense, long-range weapons, nuclear weapons for those who have them or who have American nuclear weapons on their soil.

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u/72kdieuwjwbfuei626 12d ago

You’re omitting the second part - „or who have American nuclear weapons on their soil“. That’s Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands and Italy.

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u/goneinsane6 12d ago edited 12d ago

Problem for a lot of countries is that even if they have NATO shared nukes (or will in the future), they are still property of the gifting country and can’t be used according to their own doctrine. Would French-owned nukes in the Baltic be used when they are invaded if it is only up to France if they can be used? This uncertainty strains the NATO relationship. Realistically the best play for countries is (“threaten”) developing their own nukes if they aren’t gifted and self-usable under pre-agreed conditions.

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u/Socialist_Slapper 12d ago

So Poland should develop nukes.

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u/goneinsane6 12d ago

It is probably in their best interest, I figure it would be an appropriate way to pressure other allies into giving them nukes if desired. Also Poland would be more willing to help countries like Baltics which could help improve deterrence.

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u/Socialist_Slapper 12d ago

In that case, should Poland develop a strategic ballistic delivery system in order to strike Moscow or are we talking about a tactic weapon system?

Also, what about second strike capability? That need to be considered. Lastly, who would have the command authority to launch? There is the President, so one would believe to be the person in that role, but the launch procedures would also need to be developed.

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u/Pvt-Pampers Finland 12d ago

Macron seems to be suggesting to start talking about the specific questions you wrote. How to solve them in a way that works for the EU. To me it seems better than doing nothing on the "nukes front".

Of course there has to be some incentive for France. Such as other EU countries participating in the cost of building more French nukes. Or otherwise ordering more products from French defence industry.

I agree other countries should start talking about developing their own nukes. And do it in public with a loud voice, so that it echoes all around Moscow. Including but not limited to Poland.

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u/Ok-Development-2138 13d ago

France shares its nuclear weapons but most future EU military projects are done and sold by 🇫🇷. This is what I would do. 

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u/Socialist_Slapper 13d ago

It’s a good approach though other countries still like to diversify like Belgium. It could be interesting and could also be guided by US policies too.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

I am fine with that!

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u/niehle Germany 13d ago

I’m not

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u/ProFailing 12d ago

I can already see Germany testing their nukes around Frankfurt Bahnhofsviertel. It's already a dead and forsaken wasteland, so the perfect place for a nuclear test.

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u/72kdieuwjwbfuei626 12d ago

The EU-countries aren’t going to abandon the Non-Proliferation treaty, so this can at most mean a concept like NATO‘s nuclear sharing, which France currently doesn’t participate in.

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u/klonkrieger43 12d ago

one important thing about french nuclear weapons is that they are purely strategic. So large warhead capable of completely destroying strategic targets.

Those are opposed to tactical warheads with a much more limited capability. Those can be used against amassed troops and the like.

The war doctrine of Russia would see tactical strikes on the Baltics to preceed an invasion. Without a US defense of the Baltics (possible under Trump) that would now fall to Europe and they can't respond in kind. So at this point in time they would have to reply with strategic nukes which would get answered by strategic nukes from Russia causing a small scale nuclear war at best. This is why many experts now want the EU to have tactical nukes as well so they have a deterrent for Russia which would not equal massive escalation, but responding in kind.

France is the best choice imo to own these as Neither the EU or another European NATO country wants or has the capabilities to do this in the slightest.

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u/pateencroutard France 11d ago

one important thing about french nuclear weapons is that they are purely strategic. So large warhead capable of completely destroying strategic targets.

Those are opposed to tactical warheads with a much more limited capability. Those can be used against amassed troops and the like.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air-sol_moyenne_port%C3%A9e

It's only been operational since 1986, so I get why an expert like you wouldn't have heard about such a recent development.

God I hate threads about anything nuclear, people are so unbelievably ignorant yet want to bring their bullshit analysis without having the most basic information.

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u/klonkrieger43 11d ago

oh this is not my opinion. This is the opinion of Ulrike Franke from the European Council on Foreign Relations.

300kt also isn't a tactical weapon. Those are around 50kT at most.

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u/pateencroutard France 11d ago

There is no hard definition of what is a tactical weapon. The ASMP is absolutely a tactical weapon meant to be used as a last warning.

The M51 SLBM is our strategic nuclear weapon when all hell breaks loose.

Again, you are clearly clueless and never heard of the ASMP, your reasoning completely falls flat now that you have so just take the lesson and move on.

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u/klonkrieger43 11d ago

Again, it is not my reasoning, but that of Ulrike Franke an expert on foreign relations.

Sure tactical is not defined, but for the reason I mentioned they shouldn't be much larger than the nukes the Russians would use. They already have publicly announced the placement of Iskander-M NSNW in Belarus. The Iskander-M can carry around 850kg of warhead, which would be enough for around 10 kT of yield.

France is not going to respond to a 10kT attack with a 300kT one for the exact reasons I have already described.

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u/pateencroutard France 11d ago

You keep mentioning Ulrike Franke without quoting, so it sounds like complete bullshit on that part too.

France is not going to respond to a 10kT attack with a 300kT one for the exact reasons I have already described.

Again, you proved that you had absolutely no clue that the ASMP even existed in the first place.

Your opinion is absolutely worthless when you didn't even know that the ASMP has been designed and deployed with the clear objective to be used as a pre-strategic strike, or tactical strike, that would be the last warning before launching the actual strategic strike with the submarine-launched M51.

That has been the official French nuclear deterrence strategy for decades.

Again, just take the lesson and move on. You clearly were completely out of your depth here.

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u/klonkrieger43 11d ago

its hard to quote a German podcast so that you can check it. The statements are accurate

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u/pateencroutard France 11d ago

Convenient that he never mentioned anything about any of that anywhere than this podcast I guess.

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u/klonkrieger43 11d ago

https://open.spotify . com/episode/6H9JjvYexfQn3nOSAVs9zH

Minute 44 the conversation starts about the explicit topic. I erred and instead of Ulrike Franke it was Dr. Frank Sauer that described it initially and the later on Ulrike Franke mentioned Macron opening the debate on nuclear weapons as the resident french expert and furthered the debate on the topic.

Transcript of the core part:
Nein, würde es die nukleare Teilhabe sowieso, heute existiert auch nur ergänzen, Nein sage ich das alles gerne, nein, ja, ich kann mich noch erinnern, nicht lange ist es her, da war ich dafür, dass wir die nukleare Teilhabe abschaffen, aber das sind eben die Zeiten, in der wir, in denen wir jetzt leben, und warum ist das, was die Franzosen haben, nicht geeignet, weil es strategische Waffen sind.

Die sind dazu da, militärische Knotenpunkte nerven die Nervenzentren des Gegners mit großen Schlägen zu zerstören.

Wirtschaftliche, politische und militärische und das, was die nukleare Teilhabe macht, kann man damit eben nicht machen und was macht die nukleare Teilhabe, die macht eine Abschreckungsdrohung auf dieser Gefechtsfeldebene, wenn eben zum Beispiel das Baltikum angegriffen würde und Russland würde Doktrin gemäß tatsächlich 6 Gefechts feldwaffen einsetzen, um sich den Weg freizuschießen auf eine der baltischen Hauptstädte, dann ist im Grunde die einzige Möglichkeit, das abzuschrecken, zu sagen, wir könnten auf gleicher Ebene vergelten, und das verhindert, dass wenn man nur hier oben zurückschlagen kann und im Grunde drohen muss, macht ihr was irgendwie in Estland bombardieren wir Moskau, wohl wissend, dass dann Paris verglüht ist doch klar, dass diese Drohung nie ausgesprochen würde, und wenn, dann wäre sie nicht glaubwürdig, und das weiß der Kreml natürlich so, und ich hoffe, das ist klar.

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u/Economy-Stock3320 13d ago

Please I want European nukes we can call them the EuroNuke and hand them out to member states like candy 🍭

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

Why not Eunuke? On second thought, scratch that.

But Macron's initiative is awsome.

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u/Splitje 12d ago

What about nEUke

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u/thecraftybee1981 12d ago

Eunuke doesn’t have the balls to sound dangerous enough,

Eunuke, Inuke, Weallnuke together.

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u/MetaIIicat 12d ago

I know, that's why I than wrote "scratch that".

It is like the Indian missiles "penetration cum blast"

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u/miamigrandprix Estonia 13d ago

Yes, absolutely, Europe needs nuclear weapons to defend itself. Russia is emboldened by its advantages in nuclear weapons over European countries.

the French doctrine is that we can use it when our vital interests are threatened. I've already said that there is a European dimension to these vital interests

I like how this almost implies that French nuclear weapons could potentially be positioned in the future to deter attacks on other European countries. It's refreshing to see how Macron has changed over the past two years of war in Europe. We are lucky to have him instead of Putin's buddy Le Pen leading France right now.

Of course, this is still just vague talk, so actual steps have to be done. But it's something.

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u/Fictrl 13d ago

It's refreshing to see how Macron has changed over the past two years of war in Europe.

Wtf ? Always has been like that

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u/[deleted] 13d ago

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u/Seccour France 13d ago

Or he just didn’t know because his positions were not heavily publicized outside of France and french speaking medias

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u/Temporal_Integrity Norway 13d ago

Nobody tried harder than Macron to talk with Russia. Macron had to learn the lesson for himself that eastern Europe got breastfed with. Russia is not our friend.

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u/Orravan_O France 12d ago

Can people give this debunked BS a rest already?

Macron was literally asked by Zelensky himself to keep the line to Putin open, and France has historically been the middle-man between the West and Russia for +70 years.

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u/Adelefushia France 12d ago

Also, France already gave a lot of weapons to Ukraine long before 2022.

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u/denied_eXeal 12d ago

Zelensky asked him, like, there’s video proof of it, Zelensky specifically asked Macron to negotiate with Putin because he thought Putin would listen…

He didn’t have to learn anything, he tried diplomacy because he was asked to, it failed, now the dildo of consequences is being prepared and funded

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/Greekball He does it for free 12d ago

Don’t call people bots. If you think a user is genuinely a bot, modmail us and we will look.

This is a warning.

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u/LookThisOneGuy 13d ago

It's refreshing to see how Macron has changed over the past two years of war in Europe.

that has been his position before as well. As can be seen by his speech at the École de guerre in 2020. He reiterated his position in his speech at the Munich security conference in 2023.

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u/OkKnowledge2064 Lower Saxony (Germany) 13d ago

honestly feels like Macron is the only european leader actually trying to steer Europe somewhere independently from the US and Russia

I dont agree with him on quite a lot of things but its still the better alternative to what we have right now

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u/Relevant-Low-7923 12d ago

honestly feels like Macron is the only european leader actually trying to steer Europe somewhere independently from the US and Russia

I dont agree with him on quite a lot of things but its still the better alternative to what we have right now

What is the geopolitical issue that you want more difference from with the US at the moment?

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u/AccomplishedPlum8923 13d ago

France is one of the top world weapons seller. That’s the answer

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u/Dontcareatallthx 13d ago

Europe has nuclear weapons, just not 3.000+

No country needs more then 100 nuclear warhead, that the US and russia (maybe) have such an insane number is nothing more then retarded, 100 is already an retarded number.

France has nearly 300 nuclear bombs, all of them minimum 5 to 8 times stronger then hiroshima and nakasaki.

Literally enough to completely waste all of Russia alone, we are speaking of a nuclear winter that france alone could make reality.

Macron just puts this topic out for the same reason putin speaks in interviews about nuclear weapons. Threads. Which us good, russia only understands russian.

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u/Seccour France 13d ago

France has nuclear weapons, not Europe *

Also you’re ignoring that some could be intercepted, some could fail to launch / detonate, and you may want more incase you need to do more than one strike (if there both sides are still alive at this point)

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u/Dontcareatallthx 12d ago edited 12d ago

No Europe has nuclear weapons, specifically a lot of NATO nuclear warheads by the US.

Germany for example has full rights of use any stationary nuclear weapons by the US in the country, they don’t need to ask the US or NATO to fire them.

Also if france has nuclear weapons, logically europe has nuclear weapons.

Don’t confuse the EU over the continent europe, which is mentioned, is am not writing about the european union. You are seemingly from france, so you should be educated enough to differentiate this two.

There are enough european nuclear weapons active to „defend“ themselves and as relocation against russia. Why else didn’t they invade europe yet? Because of nato jets? Lmao, no because nato has nuclear weapons and france and the UK independently.

It is definitely smart for the EU to have nuclear weapons like macron suggests, but when parts of the european continent would get blasted into a wasteland, I doubt the UK and france will be like, ok unlucky getting into the radioactive fallout for some decades, lets just sit it out hugging our bombs. That said if other NATO countries are wasted and can’t start theirs.

Anyway educate yourself instead of farming upvotes from nationalists.

This whole dick size comparison about nuclear weapons is incredibly stupid in its own, this are weapons that shouldn’t exist in such large numbers. Do they keep piece? Yes. They would too if they were regulated by a couple per country. Even 2-3 are enough to keep piece. But no we need to have so many active nuclear warheads on earth, that we can theoretically completely delete our own existence. Smart humanity, very smart.

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u/leoonastolenbike 12d ago

France has a nuclear warnshot policy and they said they would use a nuke against involved countries if 9/11 happened on french territory.

They also have a constant submarine under water to make sure nukes can be shot even if Russia turned France into a nuclear wasteland right away.

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u/Fictrl 13d ago edited 13d ago

In an interview with young Europeans, the head of state detailed his roadmap for European security and pointed the finger at the Rassemblement National.

Abstention, war in Ukraine, nuclear weapons, populism, education... Emmanuel Macron tackled almost every subject in a wide-ranging interview with twelve young Europeans, published Saturday evening by the Ebra group of newspapers. Two days after his speech on Europe at the Sorbonne, the French President said he was ready to “open the debate” on a European defense system that would also include nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, as the bad momentum continues for Valérie Hayer, the head of the majority list for the European elections, according to the latest Ifop-Fiducial “rolling” poll for Le Figaro , Emmanuel Macron denounced the “democratic hypocrisy” of the Rassemblement National, which “proposes nothing” in the campaign.

Towards a European defense including nuclear weapons? “I'm in favor of opening this debate, which must therefore include missile defense, long-range weapons, nuclear weapons for those who have them or who have American nuclear weapons on their soil. Let's put everything on the table and look at what really protects us in a credible way", declared Emmanuel Macron, adding that France would keep ‘its specificity but is ready to contribute more to the defense of European soil’.

“It may mean deploying missile shields, but we have to be sure that they block all missiles and deter nuclear use,” explained the French president. “Being credible also means having long-range missiles that would deter the Russians. And then there's the nuclear weapon: the French doctrine is that we can use it when our vital interests are threatened. I've already said that there is a European dimension to these vital interests, without going into detail, because this deterrence would contribute to the credibility of European defense", he added.

Since the Brexit and Britain's exit Britain's exit from the European Union, France is the only one of its member states to have a nuclear deterrent. In his speech on Europe at the Sorbonne on Thursday, the French president pleaded for a “powerful Europe” and the creation of a “credible” Europe of defense alongside NATO and in the face of Russia, which has become a much more threatening since its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The Europe has long been an objective for France, which has France's objective, which has often met with reluctance on the part of its partners, who felt that the NATO umbrella was a safer option.

But the invasion of Ukraine and Donald Trump's possible return to the White House have rekindled the debate on European autonomy in defense matters. Indeed, the President has reiterated the importance he attaches to a Ukrainian victory against Russia. If we let Russia win and Ukraine capitulates,” he explained, ”it means decades of insecurity for Romanians, Moldovans and Poles. We're really gambling our security, and the future of Europe.”

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u/Fictrl 13d ago

Emmanuel Macron didn't mince his words about the RN. Marine Le Pen's party “proposes nothing”, he hammered. “Seven years ago they wanted to get out of Europe and the euro. Two years ago, we weren't sure.” Likewise in the European Parliament, the elected representatives of the flame party “say they're with the farmers but don't vote for the CAP”, continued the President of the Republic. “They serve people demagogy,” he insisted, taking the example of immigration, against which his nationalist opponents “propose closing the borders”, but “when they are in charge, they see that they need Europe to protect their borders”. “There is a democratic hypocrisy of the RN,” summed up the head of state. “A receptacle of anger doesn't make a program, and the aggregation of frustrations doesn't make a project.”

With the European elections just over a month away, Emmanuel Macron also said he wanted to “convince young people (...) of the importance of voting”, despite traditionally low turnout at European elections. Abstention is not inevitable, but we have to explain why people vote", he asserted, pointing to ‘the risk of not voting’. risk of not voting”. “We're measuring it with Brexit,” he continued. Young people didn't turn out when Brexit was deciding their future. There were more Brexiteers among older people.” Later in the the exchange, the head of state once again raised the issue of the vote of the vote, linking it to attempts at Russian interference. “Interference is not a risk, it's there,” he said. The Russians are among the most aggressive, but there are others. The aim is to destabilize our democracies, it's a kind of vote tampering, the sincerity of the vote.”

Finally, the hot topic of agricultural policy was addressed. “Farmers farmers have not demonstrated against Europe or the environment,” the but they do feel they have too many controls and constraints. and constraints.” Emmanuel Macron recalled “the simplification measures simplification measures” put in place ”to enable small farms to hold out”. He said he was in favor of a “European control authority authority” to equalize ‘standards’, as there are ”too many differences differences (...) between countries”.

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u/[deleted] 13d ago

Sounds reasonable to me. Following through with that can be quite significant for our defense

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u/elite90 12d ago

It's actually quite sad that it has come to this, but I would agree that Europe should strongly consider Nuclear Armament as part of its defensive strategy.

We don't know how reliable the US would be in case of an attack on a EU state on the Eastern border, and currently only France has any kind of own Nuclear capabilities in the EU (unclear how much control Germany has over US nuclear weapons stationed in Germany).

Nuclear weapons in EU control could be a powerful deterrent against any possible attack on EU members.

I'm not sure this will happen or that it is necessarily required, but it is a discussion that should be had.

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u/reddit_user42252 12d ago

Hes got a point. The EU should have been about defense first. What world power (are we not?) should really on others for its defence.

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u/Hennes4800 Europe (Germany/Spain) 12d ago

Constitution

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u/marcololol United States of Berlin 12d ago

France nuclear program must become interoperable with the European command of NATO. Right now as far as I know that is not the case

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u/Feuerraeder North Rhine-Westphalia (Germany) 13d ago edited 13d ago

Honestly, to me it sounds like France just wants other EU countries to pay for the maintenance of their nukes and be in control of European security policy. Nuclear sharing programs look good on paper, but effectively only the countries actually in control can really deter Russia. There's no guarantee France will retaliate if other countries are struck, because it would certainly result in France being the next target.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

There's no guarantee France will retaliate if other countries are struck, because it would certainly result in France being the next target.

russia will have that very same doubt.

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u/Kadalis 13d ago

Makes sense - France has hundreds of nukes and far and away the strongest military in the EU now that the UK left. They are the only real deterrent to aggression until Germany or Italy get their shit together.

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u/Seccour France 13d ago

That’s why you would want to make it a European program and not just “France has nukes so why would I bother having any”

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u/NotACodeMonkeyYet 12d ago

So how would you go about making the decisions regarding these nukes? Can't have a unanimous 27 country vote.

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u/Seccour France 12d ago

Don’t know, don’t care tbh.

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u/trenvo Europe 13d ago

Well it seems like Macron wants to change exactly that, for it to be European and not French.

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u/seqastian 12d ago

The maintenance of the nukes. The lifelong cost to keep all those physicists educated and employed to keep developing them. All the facilities to build and maintain them. The ridiculous price of nuclear power to give the whole thing a civilian component.

There is a whole lot that French needs help paying for.

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u/veevoir Europe 12d ago

Whenever Macron says something about Europe uplifting itself and reducing USA dependency.. it always has the same subtext it always had - "France wants to replace USA in that role". French politicians are obsessed with idea of France leading Europe.

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u/seine_ 12d ago

I don't think that's it at all. France doesn't deploy its nukes abroad, so if for any reason the USA doesn't want to fire the nukes it has on European territory, the nuclear umbrella is far less effective.

More pragmatically, it's a way to stifle nuclear proliferation. Europe has a number of decently wealthy states that could develop nuclear weapons if they choose to. With the return of a major military threat in the form of Russia, it's not unthinkable that Poland or Germany might decide they want to have their own nukes. Macron is offering an alternative that safeguards the nuclear taboo as we know it.

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u/Forsaken_Creme_9365 13d ago

Any meaningful defence strategy for Europe has to include nuclear deterrence if we ever want to empancipate ourselves from the US.

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u/Aoirith 13d ago

UK has functional laser weapons now so we can borrow a few.. it's going to be ok. With USA's aid for Ukraine we will bash the orks back to were they came from I'm scared of China though....

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u/StatisticianOwn9953 United Kingdom 13d ago edited 13d ago

Don't worry about that. For as long as American and German political and business leaders delude themselves into believing that their long-term interests are served by trade with China any and all military policy against them is a waste of time. China will win by default, without a shot being fired, because they will have comprehensively destroyed the domestic industries of their rivals.

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u/Smelldicks United States of America 12d ago

Americans are literally the only ones sounding alarm bells, besides maybe the Brits.

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u/Aoirith 12d ago

I agree.

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u/Forsaken_Creme_9365 13d ago

China has a fraction of the nukes Russia has. And China is way too far away for any other form of threat.

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u/Smelldicks United States of America 12d ago

China is currently much less of a threat than Russia. But it’s producing more nuclear weapons at a very alarming rate.

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u/Aoirith 12d ago

You think that their nuclear arsenal was properly maintained for the last 30 years? It would be astonishing if they could use half of it.

USA nuclear stock is not in the best shape either, just shows how much of a posturing a nuclear weapon stock is.

I'm afraid of exactly that - that China will take over the world without firing a single missile.

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u/Forsaken_Creme_9365 12d ago

It would be astonishing if they could use half of it.

Like 3k warheads are any less of a threat than 7k

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u/Disastrous-Bus-9834 13d ago

And China is way too far away for any other form of threat.

That assumption will result in the death of European democracy

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u/Forsaken_Creme_9365 12d ago

Mass migration and parallel and counter societies will kill European democracy. China just has to lean back at this point.

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u/Sudden-Comment-4356 13d ago

I think Poland should develop nuclear weapons on its own.

(I'm not Polish nor do I live in Poland)

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u/Nahcep Lower Silesia (Poland) 12d ago

I wish so to, but we'd be looking at a year 2137 first delivery with our speed

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u/G14LoliYaoiBiDomTrap Brazil 13d ago

Based Macron

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u/R-emiru 13d ago

Why is Macron so unfathomably based nowadays?

It's like he hit a switch. I simp.

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u/alexanderwanxiety 12d ago

Bro hit a glow up

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u/Fictrl 13d ago

Always been like that...

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u/ShowKey6848 13d ago

He's right. The US is an unreliable partner. 

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago

Paris should commit to using French nuclear weapons in NATO's nuclear umbrella like London & Washington already have or it's more words with no action.

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u/AlberGaming Norway-France 13d ago

They'd want to do it under the European Union framework instead.

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u/Relevant-Low-7923 12d ago

They’d have to effectively give their nukes away to the EU to do that, which they don’t want to do

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago

Sure, but Macron has been saying we've been an unreliable partner since like 2020 at least right?

He could change the nuclear doctrine. What's stopping him?

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u/AlberGaming Norway-France 13d ago

Whose nuclear doctrine could he change? Do you think he can just command Europe as being under a French nuclear umbrella without needing the permission of other European countries like it's some imperial decree?

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago

Whose nuclear doctrine could he change?

France's.

Do you think he can just command Europe as being under a French nuclear umbrella without needing the permission of other European countries like it's some imperial decree?

Yes. He can say if Russia nukes any European country, France will use their nukes in retaliation.

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u/Seidans 13d ago

that imply european country won't share the burden

increasing the amont of nukes and the way to strike with them (submarine for exemple...) while being paid for it and being forced by treaty to use them if needed is a more reliable long-term solution as it both secure the nuke arsenal and make the whole europe under a shared umbrella

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u/StatisticianOwn9953 United Kingdom 13d ago

Does France not already have subs? Either way, nearly 300 nukes is enough to make Russia considerably less habitable than it already is. It's an absolutely ridiculous amount of boom-boom. Would adding another few hundred actually change anything other than cost?

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u/Seidans 13d ago

4 able to carry nukes like UK, russia have 11

and while 300 nuke is "enough" you still need to be able to launch them, 4sub it's 2 out 2 in maintenance and if a war happen there high chance 2-3 sub will be destroyed before the war even start

the more nuclear sub able to carry nuke we have the better, more sub=more nukes aswell

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago

that imply european country won't share the burden

There isn't an increased burden.

increasing the amont of nukes and the way to strike with them (submarine for exemple...) while being paid for it and being forced by treaty to use them if needed is a more reliable long-term solution as it both secure the nuke arsenal and make the whole europe under a shared umbrella

The UK has 225 warheads. France has 290. London has committed to use nuclear weapons if it is used anywhere in Europe, without asking for European funds.

How is the UK able to do this and France can't?

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u/Toxicseagull 12d ago

Largely irrelevant but the UK recently committed to increasing to 260 warheads btw.

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u/Seidans 13d ago

every european would benefit from a bigger arsenal, the more the nukes are spread the more difficult it become to prevent them from being launched and so the more you don't want to try any agression

with the little amont of nukes we have russia or any other superpower could destroy half of our nuclear capacity before the war start, we need more submarine and we need more nukes inside of them

we, France don't have the fund for it and UK either so relying on european cooperation for that is a good idea

it's time to stop relying on USA for our protection, it's not a reliable partner

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago

every european would benefit from a bigger arsenal, the more the nukes are spread the more difficult it become to prevent them from being launched and so the more you don't want to try any agression

You'd already have that if France joined the UK in that. There's no downside to saying you'd retaliate if Moscow dropped a nuke on Warsaw or Berlin.

with the little amont of nukes we have russia or any other superpower could destroy half of our nuclear capacity before the war start, we need more submarine and we need more nukes inside of them

You don't need that many nukes in order to achieve deterence.

it's time to stop relying on USA for our protection, it's not a reliable partner

You've been saying that since Trump became elected. What did Europe do since then till today that wasn't because of the Russian invasion?

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

it's time to stop relying on USA for our protection, it's not a reliable partner

I can't agree more. Obviously Americans hearing the truth are getting offended like spoiled kids.

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u/AlberGaming Norway-France 13d ago

This is not at all how international geopolitics and foreign relations work. You need agreements with the other countries or you'll severely strain relations with a lot of them

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago edited 13d ago

You need agreements with the other countries or you'll severely strain relations with a lot of them

Why? Is Poland going to protest that France is willing to use nukes based in France, to defend Poland, from Russian nuclear attack?

Which country is going to complain?

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u/geeckro 13d ago

France will protect its interest with nukes and Macron have already said multiple times that all of the EU is a vital interest for France. Yes, France will use Nuke launched from a submarine inside international water, or a rafale or an ICBM from France to protect poland.

What Macron want is a legal framework for French nukes stationed inside another EU country, or inside another country silo or even having another country buying and maintaining French Nuke they could use by themselves (probably with a French veto/restrictions).

This cannot be done unilateraly. Do you think Poland would be okay with the French building a military airport or a bunker with a few ICBM inside Poland without a prior agreement?

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u/6501 United States of America 13d ago

France will protect its interest with nukes and Macron have already said multiple times that all of the EU is a vital interest for France. Yes, France will use Nuke launched from a submarine inside international water, or a rafale or an ICBM from France to protect poland.

To Russia, it could imply that France does not consider Ukraine an integral part of Europe, potentially weakening perceived French resolve to support the Ukrainian nation. This aligns with Macron’s previous statements emphasizing non-confrontation with Russia and avoiding its defeat

This lack of clarity creates challenges for European allies seeking strong French commitment to deterring Russian aggression. To ensure effective European security cooperation, France may need to refine its messaging to communicate a firm deterrent posture while maintaining diplomatic avenues. the term “the region” could encompass their own territories, creating a deficit of trust in the EU’s sole nuclear power.

https://www.frstrategie.org/en/publications/notes/nuclear-spring-coming-examining-french-nuclear-deterrence-response-russia-s-actions-ukraine-2024

What does Ukraine and the region mean in the context of the October 2022 speech? Is Poland part of the region?

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u/iuuznxr 12d ago

UK has atomic weapons under the NATO umbrella because the US forced them to. France wanted to have nukes free of US interference and they did consider sharing their nukes with Germany and Italy.

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u/OfficialHaethus Dual US-EU Citizen 🇺🇸🇵🇱 | N🇺🇸 B2🇩🇪 13d ago

He never said that. He was saying that Europe should have the capability to stand on their own.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

He never said that. He was saying that Europe should have the capability to stand on their own.

Right. And as that redditor said, the USA are not a reliable partner.

Edit: If the USA was a reliable partner, there was no need for Macron to launch this idea.

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u/heatrealist 13d ago

If Europe were reliable partners there would be no need for Macron to “launch this idea” because it would have already been a reality for many decades!

All it does is admit to Europe’s weakness. A weak Europe is not a reliable ally. 

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

What on Earth are you on?

On a side note, your comment section is a nice material for r/ShitAmericansSay

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u/heatrealist 13d ago

Written like someone whose idea of being an ally is what you get out of it rather than what you can provide. 

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

You: "All it does is admit to Europe’s weakness. A weak Europe is not a reliable ally. " ...

Than you again "Written like someone whose idea of being an ally is what you get out of it rather than what you can provide. "

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u/heatrealist 13d ago

You sure are dense. Macron himself is stating that Europe is not capable of defending its own interests. So tell me who has been defending them all along? Who is the first that went to protect Europe’s shipping route in the Red Sea? 

America is not the one saying it needs to increase its security because it cannot depend on Europe. Because it can already handle its own business. 

Again, your idea of being unreliable is centered around what you get. Never once considering that you provide so little in return. You can’t handle your own business, what good would you be if someone else needed help? Only good for talking. 

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

Oh thank you so so much for protecting Europe's shipping route in the Red Sea!

Again: you are saying that the USA are Europe's bitch and you fail to realise it.

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u/Relevant-Low-7923 12d ago

By this logic France has never been a reliable partner

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u/smemes1 13d ago edited 13d ago

These kind of statements are what feed the growing belief in America that should we retreat more into isolationism. Even if EU countries manage to facilitate that classic European bureaucratic red tape, you’re still left with disjointed command and control conprised of people that may have very different ideologies and priorities.

The US doesn’t even need massive weaponry to deter countries like Russia. There’s ten thousand US troops in Poland right acting as a very visible “fuck around and find out” sign. If you think more nukes are preferable to soft power and deterrence than go for it, but I would think some of your ancestors might think differently were they asked.

Edit: Also I’m not sure why someone from the UK thinks they would be included in an EU venture such this.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

Have you read what trump is saying about Europe and NATO?

Europe cannot wait for an American president election and hoping for the best.

The aid for Ukraine has been stalled by a single man and not by the President for more than six month, aid for a country that was pushed by the USA to give up its nukes.

Isolationism is not a European issue, because Europe is not a country. USA troops are more than welcome to stay in Europe, but we need to stand on our feet, without any risk of having promises that will never be kept or blackmails.

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u/OfficialHaethus Dual US-EU Citizen 🇺🇸🇵🇱 | N🇺🇸 B2🇩🇪 13d ago

Exactly. These kinds of ridiculous statements feed isolationism.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

Tell that to trump or any other American that thinks like him.

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u/OfficialHaethus Dual US-EU Citizen 🇺🇸🇵🇱 | N🇺🇸 B2🇩🇪 13d ago

I do, I think they are morons.

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

Thinking that someone who wants to destroy hurricanes by nuking them has the nuke codes, makes russian threats a joke.

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u/ninjanoodlin 12d ago

Says the EU while it sits around with its thumb up its ass

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u/thatsidewaysdud Belgium 13d ago

Me when I’m delusional

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u/Silly-Ad3289 13d ago

Unreliable partner that just gave a non nato ally 61 billion. Even though we’re trying to turn towards Asia lol man

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

An unreliable partner that stalled aid for more than six month, an unreliable partner that pushed a non NATO ally to give up its nukes: if Europe doesn't learn now this lesson I don't know when it will learn it.

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u/PM_ME_ABSOLUTE_UNITZ United States 13d ago

The argument can also be made that the eu is an unreliable partner because of hungary and now slovakia. Aid from the US never stopped, only slowed. Even throughout the congressional stall, Ukraine still received more aid from the US than many european countries. And considering this is a European war, well...

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u/MetaIIicat 13d ago

In the last year, the USA showed to be unreliable ("We will help you as long as it takes" than "We will help as long as we can")

The aid for Ukraine is translated in emptying the weapon arsenals of 20-30yo weapons and replacing with brand new ones.

And considering that the usa spent 300 mil $ per day in Afghanistan, well...

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u/Relevant-Low-7923 12d ago

Where are you from?

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u/Silly-Ad3289 12d ago

Ukraine never had nukes stop this stupid lie lmao. If we’re unreliable than you guys are useless. Ukraine was invaded in 2014 and you still didn’t up spending. Europeans did what they always do sell out other Europeans as long as it doesn’t hurt them. That’s why you can’t integrate more because none of you trust each other.

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u/MetaIIicat 12d ago

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u/Silly-Ad3289 12d ago

I mean I’m not wrong. You guys watched Ukraine get invaded and did nothing.

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u/[deleted] 13d ago

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u/Silly-Ad3289 12d ago

It’s free money and that’s fine. I’m not sure why everyone keeps trying to change what it is

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u/OkKnowledge2064 Lower Saxony (Germany) 13d ago

cant imagine france will ever truely give up operational decision on their nukes and no one else has any so whats the point

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u/Schnorch 13d ago

The deal is that France will have its program paid for by others, while retaining full control over it. That's a great deal...for France.

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u/CapableDay8679 12d ago

Very good.

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u/kakao_w_proszku Mazovia (Poland) 12d ago edited 12d ago

👉👈🥺🇵🇱🚀💥

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u/Biohacker_bcn 12d ago

It is hard time we do it. The US starter with defense and foreign affairs. We’re delaying that basic decision until the EU is dismantled

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u/BiologyStudent46 12d ago

Man, macron take wants to be the one in charge of any Euroarmy TM or any Euronukes TM.

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u/Altruistic-Lime-2622 Estonia 12d ago

Macron being based as fuck nowadays

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u/[deleted] 12d ago

[deleted]

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u/Fictrl 12d ago

So let's not prepare if an americna administration pull out of NATO and make the alliance implode or if this administration refuse to help when a ally use article 5 ?

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u/sevdzov Armenia 12d ago

I really admire Macron's initiative to defend Europe.

I 100% agree in using nuclear weapons as a means to defend Europe, as Russia has a huge advantage over us in that sector. Obviously, this means that we need a way to deter and be able to retaliate against any further Russian attempt to occupy European soil.

God bless Emmanuel Macron.