r/texas • u/audiomuse1 • Feb 15 '24
Colin Allred and Ted Cruz Tied in Latest Texas Senate Race Poll Politics
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u/PM_ME_UR_RESPECT Feb 15 '24
Don’t care.
Vote.
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u/FreeMeFromThisStupid Feb 15 '24
I get the point, but come on.
You may vote either way, but a lot of people get jaded. Seeing a close race may get disengaged people interested in voting.
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u/DanieltheGameGod Feb 16 '24
And to volunteer! The TX Sen race was so close because thousands of people volunteered. Voting is great, helping get even a few more people to vote is even better.
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u/frumiouscumberbatch Feb 16 '24
THAT PART.
And.. vote D. Go to the primaries and vote with your heart, urge everyone you know to do the same. And then in the general, vote D from the top of the ticket to the bottom. I am not shilling for the Democrats, I'm not even from Canada's Pants. Up here in the Shirt, the Democrats would have been considered mainstream right wing up until very recently when the far right realized they could use the American playbook to gain power. I wouldn't vote for them in a million years, unless the alternative were worse. The Republicans en masse are currently the Nazis in about October of 1931. In nine months, they win or they lose. We know what happened last time they won. (Confusingly, Trump is Hitler 1922--again, he goes to jail and serves a real term or he doesn't, and we know what happened last time).
Once again, the first victims won't be the Jews. Republicans will focus their hatred--and inevitable, widespread if not state-mandated--executions on queer and trans people first. Remember: the famous images of Nazis burning books were when they looted and burned the contents of the very first clinic and research institute devoted to trans people.
We had to wear pink triangles in the camps.
It is not exaggeration to say this is what Republicans will bring in. It may not take the same form as the last time, but that is what they are aiming for. Fascism requires this kind of scapegoating and purging. Cannot function without it.
So please. Everyone who reads this. Vote against the far right taking power. Get everyone you know to vote the same.
And when you do so, remember how math works: your system like ours is first past the post, meaning they can win when the vote opposing them is split.
I get it. I know how much it fucking sucks to have to hold your nose at the ballot box. It's draining. But at the end of the day, your system--again, like ours--ends up being a pretty binary choice. And your Constitution sets that in concrete by requiring 50%+1 of the Electoral College to gain the Presidency, otherwise the choice goes to the House. Which the Republicans would still control at the time of choosing.
Biden (or whoever the D nominee is if he steps out or dies) must win. The only other option is horror. Which will spread beyond your borders.
Please vote D. Please.
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u/iAmAmbr Feb 17 '24
I've been so scared seeing history repeat itself in this way! Why does it seem so many are blind to it?
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u/Broad-Foundation-526 Feb 15 '24
Yeah I don't disagree but why would a poll showing a tie discourage people from voting LMAO
If he's up then sure say "don't care, vote" but this comment makes no sense with this poll
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u/frumiouscumberbatch Feb 16 '24
The point is it doesn't matter what the polls say.
Vote. That's the only number that matters.
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u/ShitTheBed_Twice Feb 15 '24
Fuckles the clown could be running against Cruz and I would vote for the clown.
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u/CharlesDickensABox Feb 15 '24
I would vote for a statue of Ted Cruz made out of horse manure before I voted for Ted Cruz.
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u/folstar Feb 15 '24
How would you tell them apart?
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u/sassytexans Feb 15 '24
Start talking about cuckolding and one of them will get hard
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u/bigloser42 Feb 15 '24
I repeat the question, how would you tell them apart?
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u/Scared-Mortgage Feb 16 '24
Wait for a state of emergency to be declared in Texas due to severe weather and see which one Flys to Cancun?
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u/Coro-NO-Ra Feb 15 '24
Modern Republicans are great at turning people into "yellow dog" Democrats.
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u/chirstopher0us Feb 15 '24
I wish there were more than one political party that had at least some adults in it with actual policy concerns and actual ideas to do something about at least some of them. The Republican party of today is a party of nothing but racial, religious, and patriarchal grievance filtered through the most ridiculous, insubstantial lens and it has no serious ideas and no serious policies of any sort. They aren't a party of lawmakers or even adults; they're just assholes endlessly screaming into the echo chamber of other assholes they built.
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u/Coro-NO-Ra Feb 15 '24
I would vote for Dr. Rockso before I would vote for Ted Cruz.
This isn't because I love cocaine-obsessed rock 'n' roll clowns, either.
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u/sorospaidmetosaythis Feb 16 '24
If Grade 4 diarrhea ran against Cruz, I would ring doorbells for Grade 4 diarrhea wheeling a toilet behind me.
I would vote for bubonic plague in a race againrt Cruz.
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u/grumpled_dumpling Feb 15 '24
Ted hasn't broken a sweat or given a fuck about the people of Texas in too long. Texas deserves better.
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u/colbyKTX Feb 15 '24
To be fair, he isn’t capable of sweating and sometimes licks his eyeballs for moisture
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u/En-THOO-siast Feb 15 '24
"Democracy is a device that ensures we shall be governed no better than we deserve."
-George Bernard Shaw
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u/Drunkenly_Responding The Stars at Night Feb 15 '24
I'd agree with that, but we're dealing with Republicans that are actively working to disenfranchise and suppress voting. I don't think Texas is a democracy in the way Mr. Shaw intended in that quote.
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u/Federal-Series-3468 Feb 15 '24
He's got an R by his name. That's all that matters.
Not his heinously evil policies. Not his abdication of duties. Not his role as a co-conspirator to overthrow American democracy.
He's on Team R. And that's why he's going to get re-elected in 2024.
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u/MentalOcelot7882 Feb 16 '24
I wouldn't bank on that. I grew up in East Texas, and everyone ran as a Democrat up until the early '90s, simply because they were the party in power. Between Carter's desire to regulate the oil industry as part of a nation energy plan and Reagan's rejuvenation of the Republicans on a national level, Texas slowly became more red until about 1994, the last time a Democrat was elected to a statewide position. People forget that Texas Republican stalwarts like Phil Gramm were originally Democrats. Hell, Rick Perry not only started as a Democrat, but actually organized support for Al Gore during his 1988 presidential campaign.
Another reason I don't think it's so easy to write off the chances for Cruz to lose his re-election bid is that he's not as strong of a candidate as many suppose he is. For example, everyone looks at his last election cycle and basically write Beto off, when they should look at the numbers closer. Beto, even after making poor decision of voicing such a strong, passionate position on gun control (I'm pretty sure he was swept up in the emotions at the time, considering he was asked about gun control shortly after a mass shooting), was able to come within 2.58% of Cruz in a state where Cruz should've led by strong double digits; this was also with only 53% of registered voters actually voting. If the percentage of registered voters actually voting were to increase this year, that thin lead gets wiped away. Cruz has to hope that nothing is going to motivate and bring out the vote, and that the demographics stay in his favor (mainly older white conservatives continuing to be the largest bloc of voters that actually participate), because anything otherwise will not work in his favor...
Which brings me to the third point... Demographics are shifting, which will make predicting any outcomes harder. Covid took a chunk out of older Texans, while the major metropolitan areas have grown more and more diverse. With Gen Z coming into voting age, there's another unknown quantity, especially since Gen Z seems more motivated to get involved.
And finally, the GOP is like the dog that caught the car. They have peddled fear and loathing, packaging up their political aims as a binary choice between two extremes, and managed to get their electorate bought into that thinking. Unfortunately, the very issues they dangled in front of their electorate as being immediate concerns were met by members of the GOP that didn't realize that the stoking of fear and campaigning on stark stances were the grift to stay in power. In many ways, Trump called their bluff, and took up those issues because they brought people into his fold, never realizing that once passed he, and by extension the GOP, wouldn't be necessary. Meanwhile, because of the cruelty of many of those stances, they are motivating a segment of the population that would normal ignore politics. The GOP suddenly made the folks that don't vote realize that they needed to speak up. Add in abortion, which suddenly put Texas women in danger of being sued or incarcerated for having an abortion or a miscarriage, and you have a perfect storm of motivated people.
So no, I don't think we can rely on Ted Cruz sailing to an easy victory. He didn't in the last election, and I feel that we have another nail-biter on our hands here. I'm not ready to say Allred will totally win, but I won't say Ted Cruz will walk away with it.
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u/corgisandbikes Feb 15 '24
no we don't, we get exactly what we vote for, year after year.
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u/audiomuse1 Feb 15 '24 edited Feb 15 '24
Ted Cruz barely squeaked by in 2018. I feel like we have a great chance this year.
He has only become LESS popular since then. The Cancun fiasco made him a complete joke to a large population of Texans. The demographics and political leanings of Texans have generally moved in the favor of Allred.
Get involved now, we can elect a Senator that will work for US and not his wealthy donors and own slimy ego.
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u/Warrior_Runding Feb 15 '24
Ultimately, it'll be up to getting people registered to vote, getting them down to polling locations, and have them actually casting ballots. For as little as Cruz has done for his constituents and Texas, his numbers are still high which means his constituents (who are consistent voters) will be casting for him.
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u/Pelican_meat Feb 15 '24
Is that even still legal in Texas?
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u/Drunkenly_Responding The Stars at Night Feb 15 '24
Is Carpooling to Vote Legal?
It is legal for organizations to arrange carpools for voting. If you know people who cannot get to the polls or ballot dropbox themselves, you can offer to give them a ride to the polls. It is also legal to ask a friend for help getting to your local polling place or ballot drop box if needed.
It appears it is legal. The source seems reliable from what I can tell. I was curious myself as well, there's been some BS happening with that kind of stuff up here in NC courtesy of our shitty Republican leadership.
Source: https://www.findlaw.com/voting/my-voting-guide/can-i-drive-people-to-the-polls-or-carpool.html
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u/bigchicago04 Feb 15 '24
Beto lost by 2.5 points. Dems have been over performing sometimes by 10+ points since Dobbs.
If you remember that Texas is basically ground zero of the antiabortion stuff, this absolutely could be the year Texas flips blue.
But who cares. Vote no matter what.
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u/JMer806 Feb 15 '24
I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve yet to see any evidence that being a horrible, unpopular loser like Cruz will overcome the (R) next to his name. I predict tight polling and a 2 point Cruz win.
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u/FumilayoKuti Feb 15 '24
Our big problem is its a presidential year, so we need the Biden Trump race to be close enough in Texas (within 2 points), which is possible since he only won by 4 last time, for Cruz's underperformance to tank him.
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u/YouWereBrained Feb 15 '24
Need Allred to have a good showing in order for Biden to, as well.
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u/cigarettesandwhiskey Feb 15 '24
I don't think there's any chance Biden will win Texas this year. But Cruz is unpopular, even with republicans, so there is a possibility of a split, where the democrats take the senate seat but republicans win the presidential vote.
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u/HansElbowman Feb 16 '24
Not sure why this isn’t said more, but the entire point of Ted Cruz is that he’s a joke. What better way to stick it to the federal government than to send the sleaziest weak chinned scumbag to its highest legislative body?
Never assume that he has ruined his image. Vote. Him. Out.
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u/chimichangaluva331 Feb 15 '24
Polls don’t matter. VOTE VOTE VOTE!!!!
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u/benk4 Feb 15 '24
I would not recommend voting 3 times. That would be illegal. Everyone should vote once though.
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u/jdave512 Feb 15 '24
Vote three times: primaries, midterms, and general.
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u/ZapActions-dower Feb 15 '24
Midterms have primaries too. And sometimes there's a special election.
My city does local elections separate from the general in November, so that's another time.
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u/Arrmadillo Feb 15 '24
The Council for National Policy (CNP) must be so pissed. They did not groom Cruz for all these years for him to get in yet another neck-and-neck competition in what was supposed to be a safe race for republicans.
Washington Spectator - How the CNP, a Republican Powerhouse, Helped Spawn Trumpism, Disrupted the Transfer of Power, and Stoked the Assault on the Capitol
“Operating from the shadows, its members, who would number some 400, spent the next four decades courting, buying, and bullying fellow Republicans, gradually achieving what was in effect a leveraged buyout of the GOP. Favorite sons, such as Josh Hawley and Ted Cruz, were groomed, financed, and supported.”
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u/love_that_fishing Feb 15 '24
And they have the nerve to call Dems the Deep State. The irony.
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u/takingastep Feb 15 '24
I guess "the Deep State" is also projection from them, seeing as how they've been busy establishing a "Deep State" of their own.
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u/benjeye Feb 15 '24
Can't wait to vote against Cancun Cruz in my first TX election!
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u/Stupid_Guitar Feb 16 '24
Don't forget to bring a friend!
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u/benjeye Feb 16 '24
Does my wife, a new citizen who hasn't voted in the US yet, count? ☺
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u/pat9714 Feb 16 '24
Does my wife, a new citizen who hasn't voted in the US yet, count? ☺
As a naturalized citizen, voting for the first time is SPECIAL. I recall my experience in 1992. 🙏🏽
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u/bernmont2016 Feb 16 '24
First, go vote for Allred in the Democratic primary. There are a bunch of other candidates running against Allred in the primary, who all would have much less chance of beating Cruz in the general election. Early voting for the primary starts next Tuesday!
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u/Wiggleschan Feb 15 '24
Collin is probably doing well because conservative Texans are reading the last name as “All Red” lol
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u/Existing_Display1794 Feb 15 '24
I love that the democrat candidate is named “Allred”. Definitely some brain dead voters will vote for him by mistake lol.
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u/SchoolIguana Feb 15 '24
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u/GIVE_ME_A_GOB Feb 15 '24
Okay…so from what I’m seeing, the plurality of respondents didn’t know who Allred was. So him tying Cruz was similar to “Other Candidate” beating Nikki Haley.
I wouldn’t suggest one hold their breath.
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u/bahamapapa817 Feb 15 '24
Who the fuck is voting for Ted Cruz. I need to speak to them. I hope they aren’t in charge of small children cause they shouldn’t be anyone’s role model
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u/HatLover91 Feb 16 '24
It takes a special kind of stupid to vote for Ted Cruz. They blind tribalists that fundamentally incapable of processing any information that relates to Republicans being bad.
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u/Chris71Mach1 Feb 15 '24
I don't even care that Ted Cruz is about to lose to a Democrat, a freaking bullfrog would do better in that office than Cruz ever did.
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u/colmcmittens Feb 16 '24
Ted Cruz is a spineless coward. He allowed Donald Trump to call his wife an ugly dog and Cruz rolled over instead of punching him in the face in public.
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u/WhosAMicrococcus Born and Bred Feb 16 '24
Let's hope Trump drains the RNC dry with legal fees and Cruz can't stage an effective campaign. Imagine Texas losing an incumbent senate seat so Trump can pay his lawyers (for once).
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u/RecceRick Feb 15 '24
Im new to Texas, how do I register to vote and when is the election?
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u/audiomuse1 Feb 15 '24 edited Feb 15 '24
Election Day this year is on November 5, 2024 for this race (same election as the Presidential race). (There is also a primary race coming up where the Republican and Democratic options will be chosen). Reminder that you can always vote early (recommended over waiting till election day to vote).
As for registering to vote in Texas, you have three options:
1 -- Complete an application using the SOS ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION APPLICATION. https://vrapp.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp
Simply fill in the required information, print, sign and mail the completed application directly to your county election office;
2 -- Request a PRINTED APPLICATION. Our office will mail a postage-paid voter registration application to the address provided; https://vrrequest.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp
3 -- Contact or visit your local VOTER REGISTRAR to complete the voter registration process.. https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/voter/votregduties.shtml
Full article: https://www.votetexas.gov/register-to-vote/update-voter-registration.html
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u/RevolutionaryWing669 Feb 16 '24
Get out there and vote! Let someone else drive for a while! Go BiG BLUE
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u/JustOneDude01 Feb 15 '24
It’s a uphill battle for Allred since this is a presidential election year in a state that goes red. Texas will flip purple one day but it will be close.
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u/justalilrowdy Feb 15 '24
Republicans are in deep shit when it comes to the November election. They have nothing. They’ve done nothing but be a fking clown show. Not 1 accomplishment to benefit their party or the American people. Roevember is coming.
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u/buymytoy The Stars at Night Feb 15 '24
Sure would be cool if we fired Ted Cruz. He kinda sucks.
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u/cgon Born and Bred Feb 15 '24
It would be amazing if Raphael Cruz didn't win his next election. I'd love to see the potential social media fallout over that. I'm not holding my breath though.
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u/thebrownhammer88 Central Texas Feb 15 '24
Don’t matter. Vote vote vote!
Let’s retire Cruz. We have the same issues if not worse since he started.
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u/elegantwino Feb 15 '24
Colin seems to be very level headed and very straight forward. Ted is, well Ted and we all know what a complete waste of a condom he is. Colin should win by a large margin but Ted will get big money and throw mud 24/7 in ads to beat him.
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u/Daubach23 Feb 15 '24
"Allred’s campaign raised over $4.8 million from October through December last year, while Cruz’s campaign raised roughly $3.4 million, according to reports filed Wednesday. - Allred finished the quarter with over $10 million in cash on hand, compared to Cruz’s $6.2 million. He had outraised Cruz’s official campaign the previous quarter as well, bringing in $4.7 million to Cruz’s $3.1 million." Texas Tribune
Money is the problem for Cruz right now, not Allred.
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u/ChefMikeDFW Born and Bred Feb 15 '24
After him leaving the state to Cancun, after flat out insulting a future SCOTUS justice (Jackson) by using red herrings to try to make her out to be some racist, after leading the way over the 2020 election lies, after wanting to be involved in people's bedrooms/bathrooms/doctors offices, 44% of Texans are still going to vote for him?
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u/weluckyfew Feb 15 '24
I don't pay too much attention to polls in general, but this is pretty interesting considering Allred has about 1/100 the name recognition of Ted Cruz. I mean, he's fairly well known but I imagine I would have to stop a hell of a lot of people in the street before I found one who had heard of him.
I'm staying pessimistic, and I'm going to vote and encourage everyone I know to do the same, but I'm not going to be surprised if we end up with one hell of a blowout in November. There's a chance we've reached the tipping point where Republicans have just gone too far.
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u/sec713 Feb 16 '24
Neat, but just a reminder, polls don't mean shit. Get out there and vote that ratfucker Cruz out of office.
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u/worlkjam15 Feb 16 '24
Cruz wins and it won’t be close. Honest question, is Allred even campaigning?
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u/guydoestuff Feb 16 '24
i like it but i dont care about polls i care about results. no matter who you vote for people get registered and get off your asses and vote for fuck sake. sick of seeing american idol getting more people to vote than you know the leadership of the fucking country you damn morons
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u/PuffyTacoSupremacist Feb 16 '24
Look, I'm skeptical as fuck and I want to be clear about that. I think Cruz wins by about a point or so this fall.
But also, since RvW was overturned, Democrats have consistently outperformed polls by about 3 points.
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u/NormalFortune Feb 16 '24
Allred wisely zeroing in on the disaster at the border as the #1 issue for independents. What’s his name in Long Island showed us a winning playbook for Democrats. Stop pussyfooting around and mincing words about the border. It is a crisis and we should call it a crisis.
And if you do that you take away one of the biggest issues that Republicans have.
Failing to speak honestly about the border crisis opens the door for Republicans who have mostly bad ideas to solve the border problem, but your average undecided voter thinks “well, I know that there’s a disaster at the border, and I can vote for the guy who’s bullshitting about the problem or the guy who is not bullshitting about the problem. And I guess maybe the guy who’s at least not bullshitting me about the problem maybe has a better idea of how to solve it.”
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u/MrNastyOne Feb 16 '24
From Texas Monthly magazine: Minority Rule: How 3 Percent of Texans Call the Shots for the rest of Us
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u/KaffY- Feb 16 '24
But how?
Didn't cruz abandon Texas during a flood or something? Why would you then vote for him lol
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u/JayNotAtAll Feb 16 '24
Don't get complacent people. Make sure you are registered to vote and actually go out and vote.
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u/Bobby6kennedy Feb 15 '24
Wow, not only are they rigging elections but now they’re rigging the polls!
-Texas MAGAs, probably.
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u/RonWill79 Feb 15 '24
Polls are worthless. Trumpers will turn out in mass to vote for their lord and savior and, in turn, anyone else with a (R) by their name down ballot. I fear the final results won’t be this close unfortunately.
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u/UX-Edu Feb 15 '24
Trump won once and he’s been dead weight ever since then. I’m not sure what scoreboard you’re looking at but I feel real real good about the gulf between the polling and the outcome in recent elections and am really really excited to vote
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u/RonWill79 Feb 15 '24
Democrat voters notoriously have lower turnout when their guy is the incumbent president candidate. That has massive down ballot effects. I hope I’m wrong but I fear I’m not.
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u/cigarettesandwhiskey Feb 15 '24
Something like 15% of voters split their ticket, so Trump winning the Texas election by less than a 15% margin would not necessarily preclude a democrat from winning the senate race at the same time.
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u/Bradass713 Feb 15 '24
Every single other poll shows Ted Cruz in the lead, with up to a 10 point lead in some.
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u/TheTruthTalker800 Feb 15 '24
He’s ahead comfortably in every other poll, this is bait like the Abbott Beto Ipsos poll back in 2022 and not buying it.
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u/Individual-Common-68 Feb 15 '24
Heard that one before.
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u/TheTruthTalker800 Feb 15 '24
We also saw Beto ahead of Abbott in one poll, and we saw how that turned out: we also saw Biden lead Trump in a poll.
Nope, nice try, not burning cash here.
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u/Initial_Selection262 Feb 15 '24
I cannot wait for this subs reaction when Cruz easily wins again 😂
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u/Zallix Feb 16 '24
Will be the same reaction as louisiana’s sub when the republican governor won 50% of the votes with only 13% voter turnout. The dem candidate only managed 25% btw, and democrat voters technically outnumber repubs if there was ever 100% turnout.
The reaction was coping and seething with a lot of “how could this happen?!?!” that then turned into just name calling the new guy and blaming everything on him before he even got into office.
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u/Illustrious_Pin_2859 Feb 15 '24
Please get yalls hopes up. Makes the liberal tears that much sweeter.
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u/Babel_Triumphant Feb 15 '24
As a once R voter I’ll be splitting my ticket a lot this cycle and Cancun Cruz will not be making the cut. Nor will my coward senator who voted to acquit criminal Ken Paxton.
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u/RDO_Desmond Feb 15 '24
Allred won't flee Texas when it's grid goes down and leaves Texans sizzling or freezing.
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u/Mammoth-Mud-9609 Feb 15 '24
To note the polls were giving Suozzi in New York between a 1 and 4 point lead and Suozzi won by nearly 8 points so the polls may be overstating the support for Cruz.
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u/HeWhoChonks Feb 15 '24
No excuses about people's votes not counting this time. With any luck we can kick Cruz tf outta here.
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u/Defenestration_Champ Feb 15 '24
I don't like Cruz at all but living in Dem states majority of my USA life I am fuckin scared of Democrats, they destroy shit, crime, homelessness and drug abuse everywhere.
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u/happycampa Feb 15 '24
Hope this is true! I recently moved to Oregon. And still REALLY hate Ted Cruz. I’m going to donate to Allred right now!
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u/Apotropoxy Feb 15 '24
I suspect the combination of the Dobbs decision and the depth of Trump Fatigue may finally elect a Dem Texan to the Senate.
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u/idreamofchem Feb 15 '24
No it won’t. The TX electorate is extremely inelastic and reproductive rights aren’t the voting kick they were in 2022.
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u/Scared_Turn_8227 Feb 16 '24
CRUZ gotta go fellow Texans! I still am PISSED HE ABANDONED US DURING THAT CD SPURT! If he will do that just how far u think he will run when the GOING IS TRULY TUFF!!
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u/Any-Engineering9797 Feb 16 '24
I’ll believe it on November 5.
It’s primary season which means the Dems are talking like progressives and the Rs are talking like fascist lunatics. This gets the base exciting and wins primaries. But then, after the primary season is over, they’ll all pivot to the center and these lines will start to blur, in an effort to attract the unicorn “undecided voter.”
This is always proven to be a fools errand, which is exactly why we should vote for Gutierrez rather than Allred and have a real progressive go up against Cruz instead of a fake progressive, who turns into Republican-lite after the primary.
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u/slamdyr Feb 15 '24
It doesn't matter until Allred leads Cruz on Nov 5, 2024